AS Roma vs 14.10.26 19:003 – 4Full Time
Real Madrid — UEFA Champions League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Real Madrid score three late goals to beat AS Roma 4-3
Real Madrid won 4-3 at AS Roma in the second round of the UEFA Champions League league stage, scoring three times between the 83rd and 90th minutes to overturn a 3-1 deficit at the Stadio Olimpico. The result ended Roma's run of 14 games unbeaten.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Marten de Roon put the hosts ahead in the 20th minute from a Matías Soulé assist, but Kylian Mbappé levelled five minutes later with Yan Diomande providing the pass. The sides went in at 1-1. Roma took control after the break, with Donyell Malen scoring in the 51st minute from a Rodrigo Mora assist and again in the 57th after Soulé's second assist.
Real Madrid, two goals behind with seven minutes left, struck through Carlos Espí in the 83rd minute. Endrick equalised in the 85th from an Arda Güler assist, and Güler set up Antonio Rüdiger for the winner in the 90th minute. Roma had won two of their previous five games, drawing three, before this defeat.
Roma host Genoa in Serie A on Saturday 17 October, while Real Madrid entertain Sevilla in La Liga the following day.
Donyell Malen scored twice for Roma, in the 51st and 57th minutes, and earned the highest rating of any player at 8.85, though he finished on the losing side.
Real Madrid forced nine corners to Roma's five, a measure of the pressure they applied as they chased the game.
Real Madrid won 4–3 away against AS Roma (half-time 1–1).
AS Roma met Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League (League Stage - 2). Kick-off was Wednesday, 14 October 2026, 19:00 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. Referee: Francois Letexier.
Team pages: AS Roma · Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League
Key moments
- 20' Goal: Marten de Roon (assist: Matías Soulé) — 1–0 · Watch Marten de Roon's goal video (20')
- 25' Goal: Kylian Mbappé (assist: Yan Diomande) — 1–1 · Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal video (25')
- 51' Goal: Donyell Malen (assist: Rodrigo Mora) — 2–1 · Watch Donyell Malen's goal video (51')
- 57' Goal: Donyell Malen (assist: Matías Soulé) — 3–1 · Watch Donyell Malen's goal video (57')
- 83' Goal: Carlos Espí — 3–2 · Watch Carlos Espí's goal video (83')
- 85' Goal: Endrick (assist: Arda Güler) — 3–3 · Watch Endrick's goal video (85')
- 90' Goal: Antonio Rüdiger (assist: Arda Güler) — 3–4 · Watch Antonio Rüdiger's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
AS Roma (3-4-2-1)
Real Madrid (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave AS Roma 39%, the draw 27%, Real Madrid 34%. It finished AS Roma 3–4 Real Madrid.
Home advantage edges Roma past a stronger Madrid — We give AS Roma 39% because the usual home advantage outweighs Real Madrid's edge on our strength rating, where they sit 66 points higher at 1937 to 1871. The draw starts at 29% for a gap this size and drops to 27% because both sides' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why AS Roma at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Real Madrid sit 66 points higher on our strength rating — 1937 to 1871. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.5% of 10,384 such games.
Why only 39%?
Because Real Madrid are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 27% and Real Madrid at 34%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,905. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
AS Roma have gained 61 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,190 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 15 home Serie A games: 11 wins and 4 draws. The run began on 15 December 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 30 November 2025 — AS Roma 0–1 Napoli. Latest home league result: 19 September 2026 — AS Roma 2–2 Inter. Across 13,706 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.0%, compared with 54.8% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the AS Roma vs Real Madrid final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Champions League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Marten de Roon's goal against Real Madrid (20').
- Watch Kylian Mbappé's goal against AS Roma (25').
- Watch Donyell Malen's goal against Real Madrid (51').
- Watch Donyell Malen's goal against Real Madrid (57').
- Watch Carlos Espí's goal against AS Roma (83').
- Watch Endrick's goal against AS Roma (85').
- Watch Antonio Rüdiger's goal against AS Roma (90').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from AS Roma 3–4 Real Madrid. Explore more on the AS Roma and Real Madrid team pages or the UEFA Champions League page.