Match report
Slovenia come from behind to stun Scotland at Hampden Park
Slovenia came from behind to beat Scotland 1-2 at Hampden Park Stadium in a UEFA Nations League League B fixture, completing a turnaround after trailing at half-time. The three goals across the contest meant the scoreline shifted twice after the break, with Steve Clarke's side unable to hold their interval advantage.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Scotland took the lead in the 31st minute when Ryan Christie converted an assist from Oliver McBurnie to make it 1-0, a margin they carried into the break. Slovenia responded early in the second half, with Aljoša Matko levelling in the 56th minute from a Danijel Šturm assist. The visitors then turned the game on its head in the 71st minute as Šturm scored himself, Matko turning provider this time, to put Slovenia 2-1 ahead and settle the contest.
Scotland had the greater share of possession at 54 per cent and edged the shot count 12 to 10, yet it was Slovenia who made their moments of quality count. The home side also conceded more corners, four to one, as Slovenia pressed for the goals that ultimately decided the match.
Danijel Šturm scored the decisive goal and set up Slovenia's equaliser, finishing with a rating of 8.86 to edge out strike partner Aljoša Matko, who also contributed a goal and an assist.
Scotland dominated territory with 54 per cent of possession but still finished on the losing side.
Slovenia won 2–1 away against Scotland (half-time 1–0).
Scotland met Slovenia in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 4). Kick-off was Tuesday, 6 October 2026, 18:45 UTC at Hampden Park Stadium. Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez.
Team pages: Scotland · Slovenia · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 31' Goal: Ryan Christie (assist: Oliver McBurnie) — 1–0 · Watch Ryan Christie's goal video (31')
- 56' Goal: Aljoša Matko (assist: Danijel Šturm) — 1–1 · Watch Aljoša Matko's goal video (56')
- 71' Goal: Danijel Šturm (assist: Aljoša Matko) — 1–2 · Watch Danijel Šturm's goal video (71')
Starting line-ups
Scotland (3-5-1-1)
Slovenia (5-4-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Scotland 44%, the draw 30%, Slovenia 26%. It finished Scotland 1–2 Slovenia.
Scotland lead despite Slovenia's cold finishing due to recover — Scotland are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Scotland's 44%. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Scotland at 44%?
Scotland sit 58 points higher on our strength rating — 1757 to 1700. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 10,339 such games.
Why only 44%?
Slovenia sit -0.32 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,329 games, vs 27.7% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Slovenia win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.9%. These teams' recent games average 2.2 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.2% of 18,723. The goals environment adds 3.0 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Slovenia are 3 games into a new manager (B. Cesar), appointed 35 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. Scotland (15 fully-tracked matches with us) and Slovenia (13) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Scotland vs Slovenia final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ryan Christie's goal against Slovenia (31').
- Watch Aljoša Matko's goal against Scotland (56').
- Watch Danijel Šturm's goal against Scotland (71').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Scotland 1–2 Slovenia. Explore more on the Scotland and Slovenia team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.