Huddersfield vs Exeter City — FA Cup: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
HuddersfieldExeter CityHuddersfieldExeter CityMatch preview
Huddersfield vs Exeter City — the facts
Huddersfield meet Exeter City in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at John Smith's Stadium.
Team pages: Huddersfield · Exeter City · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Huddersfield 43% · Draw 28% · Exeter City 29%
Home advantage edges Huddersfield ahead despite rating gap — We give Huddersfield 43% because the usual home advantage and their greater share of the ball outweigh Exeter City sitting 50 points higher on our strength rating. The draw sits at 28%, just under its usual 29% for a gap this size, nudged down by one side's control of the ball and a typical scoring environment.
Why Huddersfield at 43%?
Home ground, against the rating. Exeter City sit 50 points higher on our strength rating — 1376 to 1326. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,153 such games. Huddersfield hold 5 more possession points (47 to 42 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 43%?
Because Exeter City are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Exeter City at 29%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Huddersfield vs Exeter City, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Huddersfield and Exeter City team pages or the FA Cup page.