Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Newport County vs Walsall — the facts
Newport County meet Walsall in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Rodney Parade.
Team pages: Newport County · Walsall · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Newport County 43% · Draw 26% · Walsall 31%
Home advantage gives Newport County a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1347 to 1363 with Walsall fractionally ahead, the usual home advantage is what puts Newport County in front at 43%. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27% for sides this level, nudged down slightly because both teams' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Newport County in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1347 to 1363. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 26% and Walsall at 31%.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Newport County vs Walsall, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Newport County and Walsall team pages or the FA Cup page.

