Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Accrington STWycombeAccrington STWycombeMatch preview
Accrington ST vs Wycombe — the facts
Accrington ST meet Wycombe in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at The Crown Ground.
Team pages: Accrington ST · Wycombe · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Accrington ST 33% · Draw 27% · Wycombe 40%
Wycombe's stronger rating gives them a slight lean — Wycombe sit 126 points higher on our strength rating, 1408 to 1282, which is enough to put them narrowly in front even though Accrington ST get the usual home advantage. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down slightly because both teams' recent games average 2.8 goals.
Why Wycombe at 40%?
Wycombe sit 126 points higher on our strength rating — 1408 to 1282. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–26–42.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Accrington ST at 33%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Accrington ST vs Wycombe, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Accrington ST and Wycombe team pages or the FA Cup page.