Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Port ValeScunthorpePort ValeScunthorpeMatch preview
Port Vale vs Scunthorpe — the facts
Port Vale meet Scunthorpe in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Vale Park.
Team pages: Port Vale · Scunthorpe · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Port Vale 45% · Draw 29% · Scunthorpe 26%
Home advantage gives Port Vale a slight lean — Almost nothing separates the sides on our strength rating, 1335 to 1301, so the usual home advantage is the main reason we give Port Vale 45% to Scunthorpe's 26%. The draw sits at 29%, starting from the usual 27.5% for sides this level and nudged up because both teams' recent games average a typical 2.5 goals.
Why Port Vale in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1335 to 1301. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 29% and Scunthorpe at 26%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Scunthorpe win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Scunthorpe arrive with 17 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Port Vale bring a 33-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Port Vale vs Scunthorpe, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Port Vale and Scunthorpe team pages or the FA Cup page.