FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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FC DallasColorado RapidsFC DallasColorado RapidsMatch preview
FC Dallas host Colorado Rapids on Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer
FC Dallas welcome Colorado Rapids to Toyota Stadium for Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer, with the two sides separated by a considerable distance in the table. Dallas sit sixth on 55 points after 33 games, while Colorado are 17th on 43, a gap of 11 places and 12 points.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Dallas arrive with two wins, two draws and a defeat from their last five. They beat Seattle Sounders 1-0 and San Jose Earthquakes 3-0, lost 2-0 at home to Columbus Crew, and drew 1-1 at Sporting Kansas City last time out. Eric Quill's side kept two clean sheets in that run.
Colorado, managed by Matt Wells, have won once, drawn three and lost once in their last five. They drew 2-2 at San Jose Earthquakes before losing 4-2 at home to Chicago Fire last time out. On the road, Colorado have not won any of their last five away games, drawing three and losing two, and have failed to score in two of them.
Across their last 5 meetings, FC Dallas won 2, Colorado Rapids won 2, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Colorado Rapids 1–2 FC Dallas on 24 May 2026. Colorado Rapids's latest win in this sample was FC Dallas 2–3 Colorado Rapids on 1 September 2024.
Dallas have two wins and a 1-1 draw at Sporting Kansas City in their last five, while Colorado have taken one win from five and conceded four goals to Chicago Fire last time out.
Dallas have kept four clean sheets in their last five home games, while Colorado have failed to score in two of their last five away.
FC Dallas meet Colorado Rapids in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC at Toyota Stadium. Referee: Drew Fischer.
Team pages: FC Dallas · Colorado Rapids · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
FC Dallas 59% · Draw 25% · Colorado Rapids 16%
Rating edge puts FC Dallas clearly in front — FC Dallas sit 107 points higher on our strength rating, 1539 to 1432, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to out-perform the norm, so we give them 59%. The draw sits at 25%, the usual rate for a gap this size, trimmed only slightly by their recent games averaging a typical 2.8 goals.
Why FC Dallas at 59%?
FC Dallas sit 107 points higher on our strength rating — 1539 to 1432. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 14,391 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,297 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 56–26–18.
Why only 59%?
Colorado Rapids hold 10 more possession points (56 to 46 in recent games) across a 107-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,367 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Colorado Rapids are winless in their last 8 away games: 3 draws and 5 defeats. The run began on 17 May 2026. Last recorded away league win: 14 May 2026 — Minnesota United FC 0–1 Colorado Rapids. Latest recorded away league result: 29 October 2026 — San Jose Earthquakes 2–2 Colorado Rapids. Across 14,301 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for FC Dallas vs Colorado Rapids, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the FC Dallas and Colorado Rapids team pages or the Major League Soccer page.