San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City — Major League Soccer: stats, lineups & analysis
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San Diego
Sporting Kansas CitySan DiegoSporting Kansas CityMatch preview
San Diego host struggling Sporting Kansas City on MLS Matchday 34
San Diego welcome Sporting Kansas City to Snapdragon Stadium on Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer, with Mikey Varas's side 25th in the table on 38 points from 33 games. Raphael Wicky's visitors sit 30th on 23 points from the same number of matches, 15 points and five places behind the hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
San Diego come into the fixture having drawn three of their last five, against Houston Dynamo, Los Angeles Galaxy and Seattle Sounders, before a 4-1 defeat at Vancouver Whitecaps. They then won 1-0 away at St. Louis City last time out, keeping a clean sheet in the process.
Sporting Kansas City arrive on a run of seven games without a win. They have lost four of their last five, conceding 13 goals and scoring four, and their most recent outing was a 1-1 home draw with FC Dallas.
Across their last 3 meetings, San Diego won 2, Sporting Kansas City won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Sporting Kansas City 0–1 San Diego on 8 March 2026.
San Diego have lost only one of their last five, while Sporting Kansas City have lost four of theirs and won none.
Sporting Kansas City have won one of their last five away games, a record that includes four defeats and 13 goals conceded.
San Diego meet Sporting Kansas City in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC at Snapdragon Stadium. Referee: Ramy Touchan.
Team pages: San Diego · Sporting Kansas City · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
San Diego 73% · Draw 18% · Sporting Kansas City 9%
San Diego's strength gap drives a one-sided forecast — We give San Diego 73% mainly because our strength rating puts them 169 points clear of Sporting Kansas City, 1468 to 1299, and home sides in Major League Soccer tend to do better than usual. The draw sits at 18%, a little under the usual 20% for a gap this size, because both teams' own recent games average 4.2 goals.
Why San Diego at 73%?
San Diego sit 169 points higher on our strength rating — 1468 to 1299. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge at home won 67.0% of 7,097 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,297 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 60–22–18.
Why not higher?
No scored evidence points the other way. 73% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 18% and Sporting Kansas City at 9%.
Why is the draw only 18%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 19.7%. These teams' recent games average 4.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 1.7 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
San Diego have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than Sporting Kansas City in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. San Diego won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Sporting Kansas City. The record is 2 wins for San Diego, 1 draw and 0 wins for Sporting Kansas City. These were 3 Major League Soccer games played at both grounds between 18 May 2025 and 8 March 2026. Latest meeting: 8 March 2026 — Sporting Kansas City 0–1 San Diego. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for San Diego vs Sporting Kansas City, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the San Diego and Sporting Kansas City team pages or the Major League Soccer page.