Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
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Seattle Sounders host Los Angeles FC on MLS Matchday 34
Seattle Sounders welcome Los Angeles FC to Lumen Field on Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer, with the home side sitting 19th on 43 points after 33 games. Brian Schmetzer's team have gone five games without a win, and the picture over their last five outings is of three defeats and two draws, with four goals scored and ten conceded.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Los Angeles FC arrive 12th on 47 points, four clear of Seattle and seven places higher in the table. Xavi Tamarit's side have drawn three of their last five, winning one and losing one, scoring eight and conceding eight. Their most recent outing was a 3-1 home defeat to Minnesota United FC on 2 November.
Seattle's last game was a 5-1 loss away to Vancouver Whitecaps on 1 November, a side Los Angeles FC drew 1-1 with at home on 11 October. At Lumen Field, however, Seattle have won three of their last five home games, while Los Angeles FC have drawn three of their last five away.
Seattle have won none of their last five, drawing two and losing three, while Los Angeles FC have won one, drawn three and lost one over the same span.
Both sides have faced Vancouver Whitecaps recently: Seattle lost 5-1 away on 1 November, while Los Angeles FC drew 1-1 at home on 11 October.
Seattle Sounders meet Los Angeles FC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 00:00 UTC at Lumen Field. Referee: Filip Dujic.
Team pages: Seattle Sounders · Los Angeles FC · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
Seattle Sounders 53% · Draw 24% · Los Angeles FC 23%
Strong Major League Soccer home edge lifts Seattle — We give Seattle Sounders 53% mainly because home sides in Major League Soccer out-perform the global norm, and their habit of controlling the ball adds to that, even though our strength rating edges Los Angeles FC slightly, 1507 to 1471. The draw sits at 24%, down from a usual 27% because both teams' recent games average 3.2 goals and one side tends to dominate possession.
Why Seattle Sounders in front?
Home ground, mostly. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1471 to 1507. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,297 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. Seattle Sounders hold 9 more possession points (55 to 46 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 53%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 24% and Los Angeles FC at 23%.
Why the draw at 24%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
In our recorded league results, Los Angeles FC are winless in their last 8 away games: 5 draws and 3 defeats. The run began on 1 August 2026. Last recorded away league win: 18 July 2026 — Los Angeles Galaxy 0–3 Los Angeles FC. Latest recorded away league result: 17 October 2026 — New York City FC 1–1 Los Angeles FC. Across 14,301 historical matches involving visitors with at least six consecutive winless away league games, those visitors won 24.5%, compared with 24.1% expected from team strength. Los Angeles FC are 5 games into a new manager (Xavi Tamarit), appointed 27 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Seattle Sounders and Los Angeles FC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.