Fiorentina vs 29.08.26 16:300 – 3Full Time
Frosinone — Serie A: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Frosinone stun Fiorentina with 3-0 win at the Franchi
Frosinone secured a 3-0 away win over Fiorentina in Serie A's second round, a result that leaves Fabio Grosso's side bottom of the table on zero points after two matches. The visitors, managed by Massimiliano Alvini, took all three points at the Stadio Artemio Franchi despite conceding a large share of possession.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Frosinone struck twice before the break to seize control. Antonio Raimondo opened the scoring in the 26th minute, finishing an assist from Giorgi Kvernadze, before Gabriele Bracaglia doubled the lead in the 38th minute after being set up by Giacomo Calò. Fiorentina went into the interval two goals down having dominated the ball but without troubling the scoreboard.
The hosts pushed forward after half-time and registered more shots on target than their opponents, yet it was Frosinone who struck again. Raimondo completed his brace in the 68th minute, turning home a pass from Bracaglia to make it 3-0, a lead the visitors held comfortably to the final whistle without conceding a card of note beyond the routine bookings shown to both sides.
Raimondo scored twice and finished with a match rating of 8.3, the decisive figure in Frosinone's win, while Bracaglia added a goal and an assist of his own to earn an 8.2 rating.
Fiorentina had almost double the shot count of Frosinone, firing 25 attempts to the visitors' 12, yet could not convert that volume into goals.
Frosinone won 3–0 away against Fiorentina (half-time 0–2).
Fiorentina met Frosinone in the Serie A (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at Stadio Artemio Franchi. Referee: Giuseppe Collu.
Team pages: Fiorentina · Frosinone · Serie A
Key moments
- 26' Goal: Antonio Raimondo (assist: Giorgi Kvernadze) — 0–1 · Watch Antonio Raimondo's goal video (26')
- 38' Goal: Gabriele Bracaglia (assist: Giacomo Calò) — 0–2 · Watch Gabriele Bracaglia's goal video (38')
- 68' Goal: Antonio Raimondo (assist: Gabriele Bracaglia) — 0–3 · Watch Antonio Raimondo's goal video (68')
Starting line-ups
Fiorentina (4-3-3)
Frosinone (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Fiorentina 52%, the draw 29%, Frosinone 19%. It finished Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone.
Fiorentina's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Fiorentina are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Fiorentina's 52%. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Fiorentina at 52%?
Fiorentina sit 110 points higher on our strength rating — 1789 to 1678. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,750 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 51–25–24.
Why only 52%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Fiorentina's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,092 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Frosinone win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,679. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Frosinone scored +0.41 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,799 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last 8 league games at home. Rolling home runs look imposing but sides on a 6+ run won 56.3% of 13,540 games vs 54.6% class-expected — and in our walked test the rating already carried it. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Fiorentina vs Frosinone final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Antonio Raimondo's goal against Fiorentina (26').
- Watch Gabriele Bracaglia's goal against Fiorentina (38').
- Watch Antonio Raimondo's goal against Fiorentina (68').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Fiorentina 0–3 Frosinone. Explore more on the Fiorentina and Frosinone team pages or the Serie A page.