Match report
Samardžić's stoppage-time strike sinks Bologna at the New Balance Arena
Atalanta secured a 1-0 win over Bologna in matchday two of Serie A, a result settled deep into stoppage time at the New Balance Arena. The contest remained scoreless through a goalless first half and much of the second, with Maurizio Sarri's side dominating territory but unable to find the breakthrough until the very end.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
With the scoreline locked at 0-0 deep into added time, Lazar Samardžić struck in the 90+6th minute, converting after being set up by Nicola Zalewski to make it 1-0 and settle the contest at the death.
Atalanta controlled proceedings for long spells despite holding just 42 percent possession, peppering Bologna's goal with 16 shots to their opponents' six across the ninety-plus minutes. Domenico Tedesco's side offered little in attack, managing only three shots on target, while a single yellow card for Atalanta was the only disciplinary blemish in an otherwise tightly officiated match under referee Daniele Doveri.
Samardžić proved the difference with the only goal of the game, arriving in the final seconds of stoppage time, while goalkeeper Marco Carnesecchi earned the highest rating of the match at 8.2 despite facing little pressure.
Atalanta's 1.29 expected goals figure against Bologna's meagre 0.16 underlined how thoroughly they dominated the chances created, even before Samardžić's late winner arrived.
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
Atalanta met Bologna in the Serie A (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Monday, 31 August 2026, 18:45 UTC at New Balance Arena. Referee: Daniele Doveri.
Key moments
- 90' Goal: Lazar Samardžić (assist: Nicola Zalewski) — 1–0 · Watch Lazar Samardžić's goal video (90')
Starting line-ups
Atalanta (4-3-3)
Bologna (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Atalanta 52%, the draw 29%, Bologna 19%. It finished Atalanta 1–0 Bologna.
Atalanta's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Atalanta are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Atalanta's 52%. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Atalanta at 52%?
Atalanta sit 186 points higher on our strength rating — 1969 to 1783. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,764 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 64–21–15.
Why only 52%?
Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Atalanta's column. Across 10,864 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,099 games vs 44.9% across all 99,627 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Bologna win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,716. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bologna have shed 67 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,692 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Atalanta on 4 days' rest, Bologna on 7. Once class is accounted for, rest gaps stopped mattering — across 43,597 measured games no rest advantage repeated. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Atalanta vs Bologna final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Atalanta 1–0 Bologna. Explore more on the Atalanta and Bologna team pages or the Serie A page.
Quick answers
›What was the final score of Atalanta vs Bologna?
Atalanta beat Bologna 1–0 (half-time 0–0).
›Who scored in Atalanta vs Bologna?
Lazar Samardžić (90') for Atalanta.
›Where can I watch Atalanta vs Bologna highlights?
Goal highlights and video clips from Atalanta 1–0 Bologna are on this page — open the videos tab to watch every goal.
›What is the head-to-head record between Atalanta and Bologna?
Atalanta and Bologna have met 10 times — 4 wins for Atalanta, 5 wins for Bologna and 1 draw.