Match report
Udinese hold off Monza fightback to win 3-2 at U-Power Stadium
Udinese came away from the U-Power Stadium with a 3-2 win over Monza in matchday two of Serie A, having led by three goals inside the opening 45 minutes before surviving a late scare. The result lifted Kosta Runjaic's side to third in the table, while Ivan Juric's Monza remain without a point after two games.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Jakub Piotrowski put the visitors ahead in the 32nd minute, finishing off an assist from Hassane Kamara. Monza levelled almost immediately through Andrea Colpani, set up by Ricardo Mangas in the 37th minute, but Udinese responded before the break. Kamara turned scorer himself right on the stroke of half-time to restore the lead, and Jurgen Ekkelenkamp added a third in stoppage time to send the sides in with the score at 1-3.
Monza pushed for a way back into the contest after the interval and got one shortly after the hour mark, Gustavo Varela converting an Ebenezer Akinsanmiro assist to make it 2-3 in the 63rd minute. Despite the toll of chasing the game, Udinese held on for the remainder, with Monza unable to find the equaliser their possession and pressure had threatened.
Piotrowski scored and topped the ratings for Udinese with an 8.3, while Kamara was not far behind having both scored and assisted in the win.
Udinese's 1.62 expected goals figure, nearly double Monza's 0.89, reflected the visitors' greater clinical edge in front of goal.
Udinese won 3–2 away against Monza (half-time 1–3).
Monza met Udinese in the Serie A (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Saturday, 29 August 2026, 16:30 UTC at U-Power Stadium. Referee: Claudio Giuseppe Allegretta.
Key moments
- 32' Goal: Jakub Piotrowski (assist: Hassane Kamara) — 0–1 · Watch Jakub Piotrowski's goal video (32')
- 37' Goal: Andrea Colpani (assist: Ricardo Mangas) — 1–1 · Watch Andrea Colpani's goal video (37')
- 45' Goal: Hassane Kamara — 1–2 · Watch Hassane Kamara's goal video (45')
- 45' Goal: Jurgen Ekkelenkamp — 1–3 · Watch Jurgen Ekkelenkamp's goal video (45')
- 63' Goal: Gustavo Varela (assist: Ebenezer Akinsanmiro) — 2–3 · Watch Gustavo Varela's goal video (63')
Starting line-ups
Monza (3-4-2-1)
Udinese (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Monza 28%, the draw 32%, Udinese 40%. It finished Monza 2–3 Udinese.
Udinese's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Udinese are the stronger side on our strength rating, and the early-season home fade plus a weak Serie A home advantage on top give Udinese the lean. The draw at 32% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Udinese at 40%?
Udinese sit 108 points higher on our strength rating — 1626 to 1734. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,107 such games. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Monza's column. Across 10,761 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,092 games vs 44.9% across all 99,457 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 38–27–35.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 32% and Monza at 28%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Monza win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,679. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Monza scored +0.46 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,799 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 42.1% vs 42.9% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Monza are newly promoted — game 2 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Monza vs Udinese final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Jakub Piotrowski's goal against Monza (32').
- Watch Andrea Colpani's goal against Udinese (37').
- Watch Hassane Kamara's goal against Monza (45').
- Watch Jurgen Ekkelenkamp's goal against Monza (45').
- Watch Gustavo Varela's goal against Udinese (63').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Monza 2–3 Udinese. Explore more on the Monza and Udinese team pages or the Serie A page.