Match report
Frattesi strike gives Lazio narrow win over Genoa
Lazio moved into the Serie A places to watch with a 1-0 win over Genoa at the Stadio Olimpico, a result that lifted Gennaro Gattuso's side to fourth in the table while Daniele De Rossi's Genoa remained without a point after two matchdays.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The only goal came in the 25th minute, when Davide Frattesi converted an assist from Nuno Tavares to put the home side ahead, a lead Lazio never relinquished. The score stood at 1-0 at half-time and stayed that way through to the final whistle, with no further goals or dismissals to alter the shape of the contest.
Lazio dominated the underlying numbers despite having less of the ball, managing 46% possession to Genoa's 54% but producing 15 shots to the visitors' eight and generating 1.55 expected goals against Genoa's 0.57. Genoa were also the more indisciplined side, committing 17 fouls to Lazio's six, though it was Lazio who picked up the match's only yellow card.
Frattesi scored the game's decisive goal and was rated 7.5, though Genoa's Junior Messias edged him out as the highest-rated performer on the pitch with a 7.7 despite finishing on the losing side.
Lazio's 15 shots to Genoa's eight underlined their control in front of goal despite having less of the ball.
Lazio beat Genoa 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Lazio met Genoa in the Serie A (Regular Season - 2). Kick-off was Sunday, 30 August 2026, 18:45 UTC at Stadio Olimpico. Referee: Ermanno Feliciani.
Key moments
- 25' Goal: Davide Frattesi (assist: Nuno Tavares) — 1–0 · Watch Davide Frattesi's goal video (25')
Starting line-ups
Lazio (4-3-3)
Genoa (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Lazio 49%, the draw 29%, Genoa 22%. It finished Lazio 1–0 Genoa.
Lazio's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Lazio are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lazio's 49%. The draw at 29% is lifted by the early-season fade in home wins.
Why Lazio at 49%?
Lazio sit 178 points higher on our strength rating — 1864 to 1685. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,760 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 62–24–14.
Why only 49%?
Genoa sit -0.48 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.8% of 2,405 such games where the class table expected 36.3%. Both sides are inside their first six league games — home wins land softer this early in the season, so this trims Lazio's column. Across 10,823 opening-stretch games since 2010, home sides won 42.8% where the rating map expected 44.9%, with draws up 2.0 — negative in every season since 2018.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Genoa win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,699. Early-season fixtures add 2.0 points to the draw. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Lazio won all of the last 5 games between these sides. Head-to-head dominance hasn't carried forward beyond the rating: sides that won 4+ of the last 5 meetings won 55.6% of 9,259 next meetings vs 55.0% class-expected.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Lazio vs Genoa final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Serie A fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Lazio 1–0 Genoa. Explore more on the Lazio and Genoa team pages or the Serie A page.