HighlightsEFLYouTubeMatch Events
play_arrow4 clips- 42′Bolton, goal:0–1assist
- Half-time0 – 1
- 46′Derby, goal:1–1assist
- 49′Derby, goal:2–1assist
- 62′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- 70′Bolton, substitution:off
- 71′Bolton, substitution:off
- 71′Bolton, substitution:off
- 73′Derby, substitution:off
- 82′Bolton, substitution:off
- 90+2′Bolton, substitution:Max Lottoff
- 90+3′Derby, substitution:off
- 90+3′Derby, substitution:off
- 90+4′Derby, goal:3–1
- 90+4′Derby, yellow card:
- 90+5′Bolton, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time3 – 1
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Derby
Bolton
Match report
Derby come from behind to beat Bolton 3-1 at Pride Park
Derby ended a run of 10 games without a win by beating Bolton 3-1 in the Championship at Pride Park Stadium on matchday 15. They trailed at the interval but turned the match around within four minutes of the restart, then added a late third to finish a comfortable victory.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Bolton took the lead two minutes before half-time when Ruben Rodrigues scored from a Gaizka Larrazabal assist. Derby were level in the 46th minute, Ryan Nyambe finishing from a Mohammed Fuseini assist, and in the 49th Jack Robinson put them in front, with Carlton Morris providing the pass.
Bolton held 70 per cent of the possession and had 17 shots to nine, yet Derby were the more clinical, putting five of their nine efforts on target. Rhian Brewster sealed the points in the 90+4 minute to make it 3-1. The result lifted Derby to 10 points from 15 games, still 23rd, while Bolton stayed 17th on 17 points.
Both sides are in Championship action again on Saturday 21 November: Derby travel to Southampton, while Bolton host Portsmouth.
Ruben Rodrigues scored Bolton's goal from a Larrazabal assist and earned the match's highest rating, 8.2, though he finished on the losing side. Carlton Morris, who set up Robinson's goal, was Derby's best-rated player at 7.7.
Bolton had 70 per cent of the possession but lost, while Derby had just 30 per cent.
Derby beat Bolton 3–1 (half-time 0–1).
Derby met Bolton in the Championship (Regular Season - 15). Kick-off was Friday, 6 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at Pride Park Stadium. Referee: James Bell.
Team pages: Derby · Bolton · Championship
Key moments
- 42' Goal: Ruben Rodrigues (assist: Gaizka Larrazabal) — 0–1 · Watch Ruben Rodrigues's goal video (42')
- 46' Goal: Ryan Nyambe (assist: Mohammed Fuseini) — 1–1 · Watch Ryan Nyambe's goal video (46')
- 49' Goal: Jack Robinson (assist: Carlton Morris) — 2–1 · Watch Jack Robinson's goal video (49')
- 90+4' Goal: Rhian Brewster — 3–1 · Watch Rhian Brewster's goal video (90+4')
Starting line-ups
Derby (4-2-3-1)
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Derby 46%, the draw 26%, Bolton 28%. It finished Derby 3–1 Bolton.
Home advantage gives Derby a slight edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Derby's usual home advantage puts them in front at 46%, though home sides in the Championship tend to under-perform, which trims that edge. The draw sits at 26%, below its 27.5% starting point, because both teams' recent games average 3.2 goals, partly offset by the Championship's usual draw rate.
Why Derby in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1327 to 1317. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%).
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.3% norm). Championship homes won 43.0% of 8,523 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.5 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Derby sit -0.39 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Derby have shed 82 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Derby vs Bolton final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Ruben Rodrigues's goal against Derby (42').
- Watch Ryan Nyambe's goal against Bolton (46').
- Watch Jack Robinson's goal against Bolton (49').
- Watch Rhian Brewster's goal against Bolton (90+4').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Derby 3–1 Bolton. Explore more on the Derby and Bolton team pages or the Championship page.