Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese — Serie B: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
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Vicenza Virtus
CremoneseVicenza VirtusCremoneseMatch preview
Vicenza Virtus seek to arrest slide as Cremonese visit Stadio Romeo Menti
Vicenza Virtus host Cremonese at Stadio Romeo Menti in Serie B on Matchday 11, with the hosts sitting 17th on nine points from ten games. Fabio Gallo's side arrive on the back of defeats to Modena and Palermo, the latter a 3-1 loss on the road on 1 November.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Cremonese, managed by Fabio Pecchia, are 12th on 12 points, three clear of their opponents and five places higher. They have won their last two, 2-0 at Mantova's expense in a 2-0 away win on 27 October and 2-0 at home to Benevento on 31 October, after losing to Pisa and Juve Stabia.
Across their last five games Vicenza have conceded ten goals and scored six, taking one win from five. Cremonese have scored five and conceded four in the same span, keeping three clean sheets, a contrast that frames a meeting between a side searching for steadiness and one that has just found it.
Across their last 4 meetings, Vicenza Virtus won 2, Cremonese won 1, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Cremonese 0–0 Vicenza Virtus on 22 February 2022. Vicenza Virtus's latest win in this sample was Vicenza Virtus 3–1 Cremonese on 2 March 2021. Cremonese's latest win in this sample was Vicenza Virtus 0–1 Cremonese on 26 September 2021.
Cremonese have won two of their last five and kept three clean sheets, while Vicenza Virtus have won one of theirs and shipped ten goals.
Both sides have faced Benevento and Pisa recently: Vicenza drew 2-2 at Benevento and lost 3-0 at home to Pisa, while Cremonese beat Benevento 2-0 at home and lost 3-1 away at Pisa.
Vicenza Virtus meet Cremonese in the Serie B (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 18:30 UTC at Stadio Romeo Menti.
Team pages: Vicenza Virtus · Cremonese · Serie B
Sirius · Why these numbers
Vicenza Virtus 21% · Draw 32% · Cremonese 47%
Cremonese's stronger rating, with the draw live — We give Cremonese 47% mainly because our strength rating puts them 182 points higher, 1503 to 1322, and home advantage running weak across Serie B adds a little more. The draw sits at 32%, starting from 25% for a gap this size and raised 7 points by the usual draw rate in Serie B.
Why Cremonese at 47%?
Cremonese sit 182 points higher on our strength rating — 1503 to 1322. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,223 such games. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,112 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 29–22–49.
Why only 47%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 47% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 32% and Vicenza Virtus at 21%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Vicenza Virtus win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Vicenza Virtus won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Cremonese. The record is 2 wins for Vicenza Virtus, 1 draw and 1 win for Cremonese. These were 4 Serie B games played at both grounds between 7 November 2020 and 22 February 2022. Latest meeting: 22 February 2022 — Cremonese 0–0 Vicenza Virtus. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Vicenza Virtus vs Cremonese, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Serie B fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Vicenza Virtus and Cremonese team pages or the Serie B page.