Juve Stabia vs Arezzo — Serie B: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Juve StabiaArezzoJuve StabiaArezzoMatch preview
Juve Stabia host Arezzo in a tight Serie B mid-table meeting
Juve Stabia welcome Arezzo to the Stadio Romeo Menti on Matchday 11 of Serie B, with the two sides separated by only two points. The hosts sit 11th on 13 points from ten games, while Arezzo are 14th on 11, three places lower.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Juve Stabia arrive after a 2-2 draw at Empoli on 1 November, their second draw in five games. Pietro De Giorgio's side have also beaten Sudtirol 3-0 at home and won 1-0 at Cremonese in that spell, before losing 1-0 at home to Hellas Verona.
Arezzo, managed by Christian Bucchi, have played out two goalless draws at home in their last five, against Cremonese and Ascoli. Their one win in that run came at Sampdoria, and they have scored three goals across the five games, failing to score in three of them.
Juve Stabia have scored seven goals in their last five games, with two wins, two draws and one defeat, while Arezzo have managed three in theirs and have won once.
Arezzo have won three of their last five away games, while Juve Stabia have won one of their last five at home.
Juve Stabia meet Arezzo in the Serie B (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 14:00 UTC at Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti. Referee: E. Manedo Mazzoni.
Team pages: Juve Stabia · Arezzo · Serie B
Sirius · Why these numbers
Juve Stabia 43% · Draw 35% · Arezzo 22%
Juve Stabia's ball control gives a slight lean — Juve Stabia lead mainly because they usually control the ball, averaging 56% possession to Arezzo's 44% in recent games, though Arezzo edge our strength rating 1432 to 1402. The draw sits high at 35%, starting from 27% between sides this level and raised by Serie B's usual draw rate.
Why Juve Stabia in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1402 to 1432. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Juve Stabia hold 12 more possession points (56 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, home teams with this control edge won 48.5% of 5,647 games, vs 44.0% when styles were level.
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,112 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Arezzo win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Arezzo have shed 98 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Juve Stabia have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Juve Stabia vs Arezzo, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Serie B fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Juve Stabia and Arezzo team pages or the Serie B page.