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Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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BeneventoAvellinoBeneventoAvellinoMatch preview
Benevento host Avellino in Serie B with one place and no points between them
Benevento welcome Avellino to the Stadio Ciro Vigorito on Matchday 11 of Serie B, with the two sides separated only by their positions in the table. Both have played ten games and both have 15 points, but Avellino, managed by Alessandro Nesta, sit sixth and Benevento, under Antonio Floro Flores, are seventh.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Benevento arrive after a 2-0 defeat at Cremonese on 31 October, which followed a 1-1 draw at home to Catanzaro. Before that they won 3-0 at Arezzo and drew 2-2 with Vicenza Virtus. Across their last five games they have won two, drawn two and lost one, scoring eight and conceding five, with two clean sheets.
Avellino come off a 2-0 home win over Pisa on 1 November, having drawn 1-1 at Virtus Entella and lost 1-0 at home to Padova in the games before it. Their last five brought two wins, two draws and one defeat, with eight goals scored and four conceded. Of Benevento's last five home games, none has been lost: two wins and three draws.
Across their last 2 meetings, Benevento won 1, Avellino won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Benevento 2–1 Avellino on 1 May 2017.
Both sides have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, each scoring eight goals, with Benevento conceding five to Avellino's four.
Cesena is a common recent opponent: Benevento beat them 2-0 at home on 10 October, while Avellino drew 1-1 there on 18 October.
Benevento meet Avellino in the Serie B (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 18:30 UTC at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. Referee: Maurizio Mariani.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Benevento 38% · Draw 36% · Avellino 26%
Home advantage gives Benevento a slight lean, draw live — With almost nothing between them on our strength rating, 1382 to 1391, Benevento's usual home advantage puts them narrowly in front at 38%, though home sides in Serie B tend to under-perform, which pulls towards Avellino. The draw sits at 36%, up from a usual 27% because Serie B produces plenty of draws.
Why Benevento in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1382 to 1391. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 38%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie B home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (32.3% vs 25.3% norm) and away wins (26.1% vs 30.0%). Serie B homes won 41.6% of 4,112 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Avellino win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. Serie B runs draw-heavy, adding 7.0 points. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Benevento vs Avellino, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Serie B fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Benevento and Avellino team pages or the Serie B page.