Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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BromleyRotherhamBromleyRotherhamMatch preview
Bromley vs Rotherham — the facts
Bromley meet Rotherham in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Copperjax Community Stadium.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Bromley 58% · Draw 23% · Rotherham 19%
Bromley's higher strength rating gives them a clear lead — We give Bromley 58% mainly because they sit 87 points higher on our strength rating, 1299 to 1211, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 23%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged down 2 points because both sides' recent games average 3.3 goals.
Why Bromley at 58%?
Bromley sit 87 points higher on our strength rating — 1299 to 1211. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 14,391 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 50–27–23.
Why only 58%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 58% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 23% and Rotherham at 19%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.3 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.2 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Bromley arrive with 10 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Rotherham bring a 347-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Bromley vs Rotherham, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Bromley and Rotherham team pages or the FA Cup page.