Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield — FA Cup: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
Mansfield TownMacclesfieldMansfield TownMacclesfieldMatch preview
Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield — the facts
Mansfield Town meet Macclesfield in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Field Mill.
Team pages: Mansfield Town · Macclesfield · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Mansfield Town 33% · Draw 27% · Macclesfield 40%
Macclesfield's higher strength rating gives them the edge — We give Macclesfield 40% mainly because they sit 146 points higher on our strength rating, 1466 to 1320, though Mansfield Town's usual home advantage keeps the lean slight at 33%. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged down a touch as both sides' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Macclesfield at 40%?
Macclesfield sit 146 points higher on our strength rating — 1466 to 1320. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 34–25–41.
Why only 40%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 40% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 27% and Mansfield Town at 33%.
Why the draw at 27%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Mansfield Town vs Macclesfield, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Mansfield Town and Macclesfield team pages or the FA Cup page.