FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
FC CincinnatiNashville SCFC CincinnatiNashville SCMatch preview
FC Cincinnati host league leaders Nashville SC on MLS Matchday 34
FC Cincinnati welcome Nashville SC to TQL Stadium on Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer, with the two sides sitting at opposite ends of the standings. Pat Noonan's team are 13th on 46 points after 33 games, while Brian Callaghan's visitors lead the table on 74 points from the same number of matches.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
The 28-point gap between them is the headline number, yet Cincinnati arrive in reasonable shape. They have won three of their last five, beating DC United home and away, drawing 2-2 at Inter Miami and then edging Philadelphia Union 1-0 at home in their latest outing, after a 2-0 home loss to Columbus Crew.
Nashville come in unbeaten in nine games. In their last five they have won three, drawn two and lost none, scoring ten goals and conceding three, with three clean sheets. They beat New York Red Bulls 3-2 last time out, and before that held Philadelphia Union to a goalless draw.
Across their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, Nashville SC won 2, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Nashville SC 4–0 FC Cincinnati on 30 August 2026. FC Cincinnati's latest win in this sample was FC Cincinnati 2–1 Nashville SC on 13 September 2025.
Cincinnati have won three, drawn one and lost one of their last five, while Nashville have won three and drawn two without defeat, scoring ten goals to Cincinnati's seven.
Both sides have faced Philadelphia Union recently: Cincinnati won 1-0 at home on 31 October, and Nashville drew 0-0 at home on 29 October.
FC Cincinnati meet Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC at TQL Stadium. Referee: Tori Penso.
Team pages: FC Cincinnati · Nashville SC · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
FC Cincinnati 38% · Draw 25% · Nashville SC 37%
Home advantage edges Cincinnati past stronger Nashville — Our strength rating has Nashville SC 153 points higher, but the usual home advantage, boosted because Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm, nudges FC Cincinnati to 38% against 37%. The draw starts near 28% for a gap this size and drops to 25% because both teams' own recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why FC Cincinnati at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Nashville SC sit 153 points higher on our strength rating — 1654 to 1501. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 39.8% of 14,872 such games. Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,297 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why only 38%?
Because Nashville SC are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 25% and Nashville SC at 37%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.6%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Cincinnati played 3 competitive matches between 24–31 October 2026 (UTC dates). Nashville SC played 2 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the FC Cincinnati and Nashville SC team pages or the Major League Soccer page.