CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps — Major League Soccer: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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CF MontrealVancouver WhitecapsCF MontrealVancouver WhitecapsMatch preview
CF Montreal host Vancouver Whitecaps at Saputo Stadium on Matchday 34
Matchday 34 of Major League Soccer brings Vancouver Whitecaps to Saputo Stadium to face CF Montreal. The two sides sit 27 places apart in the table, with Vancouver second on 61 points from 33 games and Montreal 29th on 26 from the same number, a gap of 35 points.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Montreal arrive having gone six games without a win. Their last five league outings brought two draws and three defeats, with two goals scored and 11 conceded. The most recent of those was a 1-1 draw away to New York City FC on 31 October, following a 4-0 loss at Charlotte three days earlier.
Vancouver, managed by Jesper Sørensen, have won three of their last five, scoring 11 goals and conceding four. They beat San Diego 4-1 and Seattle Sounders 5-1 in their last two, both at home. Their away form is more mixed: one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five games on the road.
Across their last 5 meetings, CF Montreal won 1, Vancouver Whitecaps won 3, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 CF Montreal on 9 March 2025. CF Montreal's latest win in this sample was CF Montreal 2–1 Vancouver Whitecaps on 16 April 2022.
Vancouver have won three of their last five and scored 11 goals, while Montreal have lost three and drawn two, scoring twice.
Both sides have faced Seattle Sounders recently: Vancouver beat them 5-1 on 1 November, while Montreal drew 1-1 away to them on 18 October.
CF Montreal meet Vancouver Whitecaps in the Major League Soccer (Regular Season - 34). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 21:00 UTC at Stade Saputo. Referee: Marcos de Oliveira.
Team pages: CF Montreal · Vancouver Whitecaps · Major League Soccer
Sirius · Why these numbers
CF Montreal 25% · Draw 21% · Vancouver Whitecaps 54%
Vancouver's strength edge outweighs Montreal's home boost — We give Vancouver Whitecaps 54% mainly because our strength rating puts them 271 points higher, 1599 to 1329, though strong home advantage across Major League Soccer pulls some way back towards CF Montreal. The draw sits at 21%, close to the usual 22% for a gap this size, nudged slightly lower because both sides' recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Vancouver Whitecaps at 54%?
Vancouver Whitecaps sit 271 points higher on our strength rating — 1599 to 1329. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 65.7% of 6,325 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 22–23–55.
Why only 54%?
Major League Soccer home sides out-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to away wins (25.8% vs 30.0%). Major League Soccer homes won 49.1% of 5,297 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 21%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.9%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Vancouver Whitecaps won 4 of the last 6 meetings with CF Montreal. The record is 4 wins for Vancouver Whitecaps, 1 draw and 1 win for CF Montreal. These were 6 Major League Soccer games played between 17 September 2020 and 9 March 2025. Latest meeting: 9 March 2025 — Vancouver Whitecaps 2–0 CF Montreal. In 6,111 historical matches between similarly rated teams, visiting sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 28.2%. Last five: CF Montreal L-D-L-L-D, Vancouver Whitecaps D-W-L-W-W — Vancouver Whitecaps are clearly the hotter side on recent results. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2060 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3981 when clearly colder. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for CF Montreal vs Vancouver Whitecaps, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Major League Soccer fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the CF Montreal and Vancouver Whitecaps team pages or the Major League Soccer page.