Match report
Millwall come from two down to draw 2-2 with Lincoln
Millwall came from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Lincoln at The Den in a Championship matchday 11 fixture. Lincoln were ahead inside the first minute and doubled their lead before the interval, but Millwall hauled themselves level in the final 10 minutes of normal time.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Andrei Coubiș opened the scoring for the visitors after one minute, and Robert Street added a second in the 33rd minute, with Sonny Bradley providing the assist. Lincoln led 2-0 at half-time despite Millwall dominating the ball, and Millwall had to wait until the 63rd minute for Kyrell Lisbie to pull a goal back.
Jake Cooper levelled in the 82nd minute, and two minutes later Lincoln were reduced to ten men when Ayodeji Akinola Elerewe was sent off. Millwall pressed for a winner but could not find a third. The point lifts them to 15 points and 11th place, while Lincoln, who had lost their previous three games, moved up to 16th on 12 points.
Both sides play away from home or at home next on Saturday 24 October: Millwall travel to Portsmouth in the Championship, while Lincoln host Burnley.
Jake Cooper scored Millwall's equaliser in the 82nd minute and earned the highest rating on the pitch at 7.84. Kyrell Lisbie also found the net, pulling a goal back in the 63rd minute.
Millwall had 70% of the possession, yet trailed by two goals at half-time.
Millwall and Lincoln drew 2–2 (half-time 0–2).
Millwall met Lincoln in the Championship (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 11:30 UTC at The Den. Referee: Ruebyn Ricardo.
Team pages: Millwall · Lincoln · Championship
Key moments
- 1' Goal: Andrei Coubiș — 0–1 · Watch Andrei Coubiș's goal video (1')
- 33' Goal: Rob Street (assist: Sonny Bradley) — 0–2 · Watch Rob Street's goal video (33')
- 63' Goal: Kyrell Lisbie — 1–2
- 82' Goal: Jake Cooper — 2–2 · Watch Jake Cooper's goal video (82')
- 84' Red card: Deji Elerewe
Starting line-ups
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
Lincoln (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Millwall 37%, the draw 29%, Lincoln 34%. It finished Millwall 2–2 Lincoln.
Home advantage gives Millwall a slight edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, Millwall's usual home advantage puts them narrowly in front at 37%, though Lincoln have scored less than their chances deserved and cold streaks like that have bounced back. The draw sits at 29%, up from a usual 27% because draws run higher in the Championship.
Why Millwall in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1470 to 1500. Sides this close won 42.6% of 14,828 home games (draw 27.1%, visitors 30.3%).
Why only 37%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Lincoln sit -0.57 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 31.6% of 1,375 games, vs 27.9% for visitors finishing normally. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,475 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why the draw at 29%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.8% of 25,198. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Out: Casper De Norre, an important player, and Joshua Coburn, a rotation player. Doubtful: Taïryk Arconte, an important player. This does not change our forecast yet: we are still measuring how much missing players like these cost a team.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Millwall vs Lincoln final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Andrei Coubiș's goal against Millwall (1').
- Watch Rob Street's goal against Millwall (33').
- Watch Jake Cooper's goal against Lincoln (82').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Millwall 2–2 Lincoln. Explore more on the Millwall and Lincoln team pages or the Championship page.