Las Palmas vs Eldense — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Las PalmasEldenseLas PalmasEldenseMatch preview
Las Palmas host Eldense in Segunda División matchday 13 at Estadio de Gran Canaria
Las Palmas welcome Eldense to the Estadio de Gran Canaria for matchday 13 of the Segunda División. The home side, managed by Albert Sánchez, sit 11th on 17 points from 12 games, while Javi Calleja's Eldense are 15th on 14 points, three behind and four places lower.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Las Palmas arrive with the stronger recent momentum. They have won their last three games, the latest a 3-2 victory away at Oviedo on 2 November, after wins over RSD Alcalá and Real Sociedad II. Before that run they had lost to Castellón and Mallorca.
Eldense's last five games brought three wins and two defeats, with six goals scored and seven conceded. They beat Valladolid and Atlético Baleares on their travels in October, and their latest outing was a 2-0 home loss to Granada CF on 1 November.
Las Palmas have won three of their last five and Eldense have won three of theirs, but Eldense lost their most recent game 2-0 to Granada CF while Las Palmas won 3-2 at Oviedo.
Eldense have won three of their last five away games, while Las Palmas have won only one of their last five at home.
Las Palmas meet Eldense in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio de Gran Canaria.
Team pages: Las Palmas · Eldense · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Las Palmas 56% · Draw 26% · Eldense 18%
Las Palmas lead on our strength rating — We give Las Palmas 56% mainly because our strength rating has them 83 points higher, 1501 to 1418, with the usual home advantage adding to that. The draw sits at 26%, starting from the usual 25% for a gap this size and nudged up by about 1 point because both sides' recent games average 2.5 goals.
Why Las Palmas at 56%?
Las Palmas sit 83 points higher on our strength rating — 1501 to 1418. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.6% of 14,391 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 49–34–17.
Why only 56%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Eldense at 18%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Las Palmas are 1 game into a new manager (Albert Sánchez), appointed 6 days ago. The famous new-manager bounce doesn't survive its receipt: sides with a new manager beat their rating by 0.9 points over 33,420 games — but sides on an equally bad run who kept their manager beat it by 2.4 over 31,777.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Las Palmas vs Eldense, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Las Palmas and Eldense team pages or the Segunda División page.