Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
CordobaAD Ceuta FCCordobaAD Ceuta FCMatch preview
Cordoba host bottom-end AD Ceuta FC in Segunda División matchday 13
Cordoba welcome AD Ceuta FC in matchday 13 of the Segunda División, with Iván Ania's side twelfth in the table on 16 points from 12 games. The visitors, managed by José Juan Romero, sit 22nd on five points, 10 places and 11 points behind their hosts.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Cordoba arrive after a 2-2 draw away to Celta de Vigo II on 31 October, which followed a 3-1 defeat at Atlético Paso. Before that they beat Eibar 2-0 at home and won 1-0 at Leganes, so their last five games have brought two wins, one draw and two defeats, with two clean sheets.
AD Ceuta FC have lost four of their last five, the exception a 2-1 win at Poblense on 29 October. They were beaten 2-0 at home by Sporting Gijon on 1 November, a game in which they failed to score, and across those five games they have conceded 10 goals while scoring five.
Across their last 2 meetings, Cordoba won 1, AD Ceuta FC won 1, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was AD Ceuta FC 3–2 Cordoba on 25 February 2026. Cordoba's latest win in this sample was Cordoba 2–0 AD Ceuta FC on 2 November 2025.
Cordoba have won two of their last five and kept two clean sheets, while AD Ceuta FC have lost four of theirs and conceded 10 goals.
Cordoba have won three of their last five home games, while AD Ceuta FC have won one of their last five away from home and conceded 11 goals in those games.
Cordoba meet AD Ceuta FC in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio Bahrain Victorious Nuevo Arcángel de Córdoba.
Team pages: Cordoba · AD Ceuta FC · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Cordoba 46% · Draw 27% · AD Ceuta FC 27%
Cordoba edge it despite Ceuta's likely bounce-back — Cordoba sit a shade stronger on our strength rating, 1423 to 1364, and with home advantage we give them 46%, though AD Ceuta FC's cold finishing streak pulls the other way, as streaks like this have tended to bounce back. The draw sits at 27%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, nudged up slightly by that finishing streak.
Why Cordoba at 46%?
Cordoba sit 59 points higher on our strength rating — 1423 to 1364. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,130 such games.
Why only 46%?
AD Ceuta FC sit -0.88 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why is the draw second, level with the AD Ceuta FC win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Cordoba sit -0.45 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. AD Ceuta FC played 3 competitive matches between 25 October and 1 November 2026 (UTC dates). Cordoba played 2 matches in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Cordoba vs AD Ceuta FC, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Cordoba and AD Ceuta FC team pages or the Segunda División page.