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LeganesAlbaceteLeganesAlbaceteMatch preview
Leganes host Albacete in a Segunda División meeting of two sides short of points
Leganes welcome Albacete to Estadio Municipal de Butarque on Matchday 13 of the Segunda División, with both clubs in the lower half of the table. Luis Carrión's side sit 17th on 12 points from 12 games, while Joseba Etxeberria's visitors are 21st on seven, five points and four places further back.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Leganes arrive having gone six games without a win. They lost four of their last five, drawing the other, and scored four goals while conceding 13. Their latest outing was a 4-3 defeat away at Valladolid on 2 November, a game in which they did at least find the net three times.
Albacete come in with two wins from their last five, both at home: 2-0 against Eldense and 2-1 against Sabadell on 31 October. Away from home they have been far less secure, though. In their last five away games they have lost four and drawn one, scoring two goals and conceding 12.
Across their last 5 meetings, Leganes won 3, Albacete won 2, with 0 draws. The most recent meeting was Leganes 2–1 Albacete on 11 April 2026. Albacete's latest win in this sample was Leganes 1–2 Albacete on 4 December 2025.
Albacete have won two of their last five while Leganes have lost four of theirs and drawn the other, without a victory.
Both sides have faced Valladolid recently, with Leganes beaten 4-3 on 2 November and Albacete losing 5-0 away on 12 October.
Leganes meet Albacete in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 17:30 UTC at Estadio Ontime Butarque.
Team pages: Leganes · Albacete · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Leganes 38% · Draw 30% · Albacete 32%
Home advantage edges Leganes ahead of stronger Albacete — We give Leganes 38% because the usual home advantage outweighs Albacete's edge on our strength rating, where they sit 43 points higher at 1429 to 1386. The draw sits at 30%, starting from 29%, the usual rate for a gap this size, and nudged up slightly because both sides' recent games average a typical 2.7 goals.
Why Leganes at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Albacete sit 43 points higher on our strength rating — 1429 to 1386. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,153 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Albacete are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Albacete at 32%.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 2.7 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Leganes sit -0.45 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Albacete have shed 63 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 10,436 such games vs 33.3% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Leganes vs Albacete, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Leganes and Albacete team pages or the Segunda División page.