FC Andorra vs Mallorca — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
This match is postponed. No overview available.
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FC Andorra vs Mallorca — the facts
FC Andorra meet Mallorca in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 13:00 UTC at Estadi de la FAF d'Encamp.
Team pages: FC Andorra · Mallorca · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
FC Andorra 27% · Draw 25% · Mallorca 48%
Mallorca's stronger rating gives them the edge — We give Mallorca 48% because our strength rating has them clearly stronger, 1629 to 1459, while FC Andorra's recent finishing below their chances pulls slightly the other way, since cold streaks like that tend to bounce back. The draw sits at 25%, close to the usual rate for a gap this size, with the finishing streak nudging it down and typical scoring levels nudging it up.
Why Mallorca at 48%?
Mallorca sit 169 points higher on our strength rating — 1629 to 1459. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.5% of 7,218 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 30–26–44.
Why only 48%?
FC Andorra sit -0.68 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.6% of 2,995 such games where the class table expected 35.6%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,386. The bounce-back factor takes 1.2 points off the draw. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Andorra have averaged 9 percentage points more possession than Mallorca in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FC Andorra played 3 competitive matches between 26 October and 2 November 2026 (UTC dates). Mallorca played 1 match in the same 14-day window before kickoff. The busier schedule is worth watching.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for FC Andorra vs Mallorca, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the FC Andorra and Mallorca team pages or the Segunda División page.