Granada CF vs Tenerife — Segunda División: stats, lineups & analysis
This match is postponed. No overview available.
Match preview
Granada CF vs Tenerife — the facts
Granada CF meet Tenerife in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 13). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 20:00 UTC at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes.
Team pages: Granada CF · Tenerife · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Granada CF 55% · Draw 24% · Tenerife 21%
Granada CF's stronger rating drives a clear lead — We give Granada CF 55% mainly because our strength rating has them 68 points higher, 1515 to 1447, and Tenerife's recent scoring beyond the quality of their chances adds to that, since hot streaks like that tend to cool off. The draw sits at 24%, down from a usual 27% for a gap this size, lowered mostly by that finishing streak.
Why Granada CF at 55%?
Granada CF sit 68 points higher on our strength rating — 1515 to 1447. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge at home won 50.1% of 11,122 such games. Tenerife scored +0.36 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.7% of 1,681 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally. Granada CF hold 9 more possession points (50 to 41 in recent games) across a 68-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.7% of 9,365 such games where the class table expected 40.5%.
Why only 55%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 55% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 24% and Tenerife at 21%.
Why the draw at 24%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.8%. These teams' recent games average 2.9 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,340. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Granada CF have won their last 4 home meetings with Tenerife. Those matches were played between 3 February 2018 and 19 October 2024, across 4 Segunda División games. Latest home meeting: 19 October 2024 — Granada CF 4–0 Tenerife. The result before this winning run is outside our recorded meetings. Across 5,406 historical matches following at least three consecutive home wins against the same opponent, hosts won 59.4%, compared with 58.0% expected from team strength. Last five: Granada CF W-W-W-W-W, Tenerife L-D-D-D-D — Granada CF are clearly the hotter side on recent results, and unbeaten in their last 6 on 90-minute results, all competitions (6 wins), a run going back to October 2026. Between equals, recent form told us almost nothing: the home side won 44.0% of 2059 games when clearly hotter and 43.8% of 3978 when clearly colder.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Granada CF vs Tenerife, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Granada CF and Tenerife team pages or the Segunda División page.