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Oxford City
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Oxford City host Leicester in FA Cup first-round tie at Court Place Farm
Oxford City welcome Leicester to Court Place Farm in the Round of 256 of the FA Cup, with Russell Martin's side arriving from a higher level of the English game. The hosts, whose manager is not named, go into the tie on a run of three wins.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Oxford City beat Dorchester Town 2-0 away in September, thrashed Enfield Town 6-1 at home in early October, and then won 1-0 at Torquay on 17 October. That sequence has brought nine goals scored and one conceded, with two clean sheets.
Leicester's recent results are more mixed. They drew 2-2 with Hull City and 1-1 with Millwall in April, won 1-0 at Blackburn in May and beat Northampton 1-0 in August. Their latest game was a 3-1 defeat at Ipswich on 25 August.
Oxford City have won all three of their listed games, scoring nine and conceding one, while Leicester have won two, drawn two and lost one of their last five, with the defeat at Ipswich the most recent.
Leicester have failed to score in two of their last five away games, and Oxford City kept clean sheets in two of their three recent outings.
Oxford City meet Leicester in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Court Place Farm.
Team pages: Oxford City · Leicester · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Oxford City 39% · Draw 26% · Leicester 35%
Home advantage edges Oxford City in front — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1365 to 1372, Oxford City's home advantage gives them 39% to Leicester's 35%, though Leicester's recent finishing below their chances pulls back the other way, as cold streaks like that have bounced back. The draw sits at 26%, just under the usual 27% for sides this level, because both teams' recent games average 3.2 goals.
Why Oxford City in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1365 to 1372. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 39%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Leicester sit -0.72 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Visitors this cold went on to win 32.0% of 1,696 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Oxford City arrive with 8 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Leicester bring a 689-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Oxford City vs Leicester, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Oxford City and Leicester team pages or the FA Cup page.