Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town — FA Cup: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
Players to Watch
ChesterfieldYeovil TownChesterfieldYeovil TownMatch preview
Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town — the facts
Chesterfield meet Yeovil Town in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Proact Stadium.
Team pages: Chesterfield · Yeovil Town · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Chesterfield 39% · Draw 28% · Yeovil Town 33%
Home advantage edges Chesterfield past stronger Yeovil — We give Chesterfield 39% because the usual home advantage outweighs Yeovil Town sitting 72 points higher on our strength rating, 1359 to 1287, which keeps the visitors close on 33%. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 29% for a gap this size and nudged down slightly because both sides' own recent games average 3.0 goals.
Why Chesterfield at 39%?
Home ground, against the rating. Yeovil Town sit 72 points higher on our strength rating — 1359 to 1287. Sides with a 40–80-point rating edge on the road won 32.6% of 11,153 such games.
Why only 39%?
Because Yeovil Town are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 28% and Yeovil Town at 33%.
Why the draw at 28%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 29.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.7% of 27,360.
What did we measure but not count?
Chesterfield arrive with 14 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Yeovil Town bring a 60-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Chesterfield vs Yeovil Town, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Chesterfield and Yeovil Town team pages or the FA Cup page.