Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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GillinghamBarrowGillinghamBarrowMatch preview
Gillingham vs Barrow — the facts
Gillingham meet Barrow in the FA Cup (1/128-finals). Kick-off is Saturday, 7 November 2026, 15:00 UTC at Priestfield Stadium.
Team pages: Gillingham · Barrow · FA Cup
Sirius · Why these numbers
Gillingham 42% · Draw 28% · Barrow 30%
Home advantage gives Gillingham a slight lean — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1321 to 1344, the usual home advantage is what puts Gillingham in front at 42%, even though that small rating edge helps Barrow. The draw sits at 28%, starting from the usual 27% rate between sides this level and nudged up because both teams' own recent games average a typical 2.6 goals.
Why Gillingham in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1321 to 1344. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%).
Why only 42%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Barrow at 30%.
Why the draw at 28%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 30,399. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Barrow arrive with 17 fully-tracked matches, so their strength number is a first estimate that will move quickly; Gillingham bring a 27-game record. New-to-the-record sides are where our rating knows least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Gillingham vs Barrow, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this FA Cup fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Gillingham and Barrow team pages or the FA Cup page.