Toulouse vs Strasbourg — Ligue 1: stats, lineups & analysis
Match Events
play_arrow4 clips- 27′Strasbourg, yellow card:
- 38′Toulouse, yellow card:
- 38′Strasbourg, yellow card:
- 40′Toulouse, yellow card:
- 45+1′Toulouse, goal:1–0assist
- 45+4′Toulouse, VAR review:Goal confirmed
- Half-time1 – 0
- 56′Toulouse, goal:2–0assist
- 60′Toulouse, yellow card:
- 62′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 62′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 62′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 67′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 67′Strasbourg, goal:2–1
- 70′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 72′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 76′Toulouse, goal:3–1assist
- 77′Strasbourg, substitution:off
- 88′Strasbourg, yellow card:
- 90+2′Toulouse, substitution:off
- 90+2′Toulouse, substitution:off
- Full-time3 – 1
Lineups
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Key Stats
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Toulouse
Strasbourg
Match report
Toulouse beat Strasbourg 3-1 to climb to tenth in Ligue 1
Toulouse beat Strasbourg 3-1 at Stadium Municipal in a Ligue 1 Matchday 10 fixture, a result that lifted the hosts from 12th to tenth and left the visitors in 13th. Santiago Hidalgo broke the deadlock in first-half stoppage time, converting a Sion Oppong assist in the 45+1 minute to send Toulouse in ahead at the break.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
Mark McKenzie doubled the lead in the 56th minute, finishing from a Cristian Cásseres Jr. assist, and Strasbourg were soon chasing the game. Gio Reyna pulled one back in the 67th minute to make it 2-1 and briefly threatened a comeback, but the visitors could not find an equaliser.
Toulouse restored their two-goal cushion in the 76th minute when Thomas Jørgensen scored from a Rasmus Nicolaisen assist. Strasbourg had more of the ball with 53% possession to the hosts' 47%, yet Toulouse had 10 shots to nine and forced seven corners to one. The win came after a 2-0 defeat at Marseille for Toulouse, while Strasbourg had beaten Auxerre 5-1 at home in their previous outing.
Both sides are in action again on Saturday 21 November in Ligue 1, with Toulouse travelling to Lens and Strasbourg hosting Stade Brestois 29.
Cristian Cásseres Jr. was the top-rated performer on 7.67 after setting up McKenzie's goal. Hidalgo, who scored the opener, was close behind on 7.62.
Toulouse won the corner count by seven to one despite Strasbourg holding more of the possession.
Toulouse beat Strasbourg 3–1 (half-time 1–0).
Toulouse met Strasbourg in the Ligue 1 (Regular Season - 10). Kick-off was Friday, 6 November 2026, 19:45 UTC at Stadium Municipal. Referee: Mathieu Vernice.
Team pages: Toulouse · Strasbourg · Ligue 1
Key moments
- 45+1' Goal: Santiago Hidalgo (assist: Sion Oppong) — 1–0 · Watch Santiago Hidalgo's goal video (45+1')
- 56' Goal: Mark McKenzie (assist: Cristian Cásseres Jr.) — 2–0 · Watch Mark McKenzie's goal video (56')
- 67' Goal: Gio Reyna — 2–1 · Watch Gio Reyna's goal video (67')
- 76' Goal: Thomas Jørgensen (assist: Rasmus Nicolaisen) — 3–1 · Watch Thomas Jørgensen's goal video (76')
Starting line-ups
Toulouse (4-4-2)
Strasbourg (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Toulouse 46%, the draw 23%, Strasbourg 31%. It finished Toulouse 3–1 Strasbourg.
Home advantage gives Toulouse a slight edge — With almost nothing between the sides on our strength rating, 1664 to 1704, the usual home advantage puts Toulouse in front at 46%, helped by Strasbourg's recent finishing above their chances, a hot streak of a kind that tends to cool off. The draw starts near 27% for evenly matched sides but drops to 23%, lowered by both teams' high-scoring recent games and that finishing streak.
Why Toulouse in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1664 to 1704. Sides this close won 42.5% of 15,673 home games (draw 27.2%, visitors 30.4%). Strasbourg scored +0.79 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.7% of 1,684 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 46%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 23% and Strasbourg at 31%.
Why is the draw only 23%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 3.5 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Toulouse sit -0.52 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Strasbourg come into this after a busy window — 16 arrivals, 15 departures, and fewer of last season's regular starters still in the eleven. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Toulouse vs Strasbourg final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Ligue 1 fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Santiago Hidalgo's goal against Strasbourg (45+1').
- Watch Mark McKenzie's goal against Strasbourg (56').
- Watch Gio Reyna's goal against Toulouse (67').
- Watch Thomas Jørgensen's goal against Strasbourg (76').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Toulouse 3–1 Strasbourg. Explore more on the Toulouse and Strasbourg team pages or the Ligue 1 page.