Match report
Mukasa goal gives West Ham win at Swansea and ends home side's winning run
West Ham won 1-0 at Swansea in the Championship on matchday 11, a result that ended Swansea's run of four wins in a row. Divine Mukasa scored the only goal at Swansea.com Stadium, leaving the visitors one point behind the league leaders.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The decisive moment came in the 34th minute, when Mohamadou Kanté supplied the pass and Mukasa finished to make it 1-0 to the away side. There were no further goals, and the scoreline remained 0-1 at half-time and at the final whistle.
Swansea dominated the ball, with 69% possession to West Ham's 31%, and won six corners to one. Yet none of their 11 shots hit the target, while West Ham put four of their nine efforts on target. No red cards were shown, and West Ham collected two yellows to Swansea's none.
Swansea stayed top on 23 points, with West Ham second on 22 after moving up from fourth. Both sides play on Saturday 24 October: Swansea travel to QPR in the Championship, while West Ham host Southampton.
Mukasa scored the winning goal in the 34th minute, converting Kanté's assist, and earned the match's highest rating at 7.61.
Swansea failed to register a single shot on target despite taking 11 shots in total.
West Ham won 1–0 away against Swansea (half-time 0–1).
Swansea met West Ham in the Championship (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off was Saturday, 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC at Swansea.com Stadium. Referee: Josh Smith.
Team pages: Swansea · West Ham · Championship
Key moments
- 34' Goal: Divine Mukasa (assist: Mohamadou Kanté) — 0–1 · Watch Divine Mukasa's goal video (34')
Starting line-ups
Swansea (4-3-3)
- 22 Lawrence Vigouroux
- 14 Josh Tymon
- 23 Stephen Welsh
- 5 Ben Cabango (c)
- 35 Ronald
- 6 Marko Stamenić
- 4 Jay Fulton
- 17 Gonçalo Franco
- 30 Joseph Opoku
- 33 Adam Idah
- 49 Moussa Yeo
West Ham (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Swansea 23%, the draw 25%, West Ham 52%. It finished Swansea 0–1 West Ham.
West Ham's strength gap leads the way — West Ham sit 200 points higher on our strength rating, 1701 to 1501, and Championship home sides tend to under-perform, which trims Swansea's usual home advantage, so we give West Ham 52%. The draw sits at 25%, as both sides' recent games average 3.4 goals, though the Championship's usual draw rate pulls it back up.
Why West Ham at 52%?
West Ham sit 200 points higher on our strength rating — 1701 to 1501. Sides with a 160–240-point rating edge on the road won 50.9% of 6,689 such games. Championship home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to draws (26.9% vs 25.4% norm). Championship homes won 42.9% of 8,475 games vs 44.6% across all 101,264 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly. The 300 most similar past games finished 24–26–50.
Why only 52%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 52% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Swansea at 23%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 25.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.4 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.2% of 16,940. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. Championship runs draw-heavy, adding 1.6 points.
What did we measure but not count?
Swansea have gained 82 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: climbing sides won 39.9% of 11,205 such games vs 40.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Swansea are unbeaten in their 5 home Championship games this season: 3 wins and 2 draws. Season's home results covered: 22 August 2026 to 10 October 2026 (UTC dates). Latest home result: 10 October 2026 — Swansea 2–1 Norwich. Across 4,883 historical matches involving hosts unbeaten at home that season after at least five home games, those hosts won 59.1%, compared with 56.1% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Swansea vs West Ham final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Championship fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Swansea 0–1 West Ham. Explore more on the Swansea and West Ham team pages or the Championship page.