Valladolid vs Sun 27 Sept12:00 Scheduled
Cordoba — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Valladolid vs Cordoba — the facts
Valladolid meet Cordoba in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 12:00 UTC.
Team pages: Valladolid · Cordoba · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Valladolid 34% · Draw 31% · Cordoba 35%
Anyone's game — Cordoba are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball is not enough to separate them. The draw at 31% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Cordoba at 35%?
Cordoba sit 57 points higher on our strength rating — 1441 to 1498. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,679 such games. Cordoba hold 7 more possession points (59 to 52 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,603 games, from 43.9% when styles were level. The 300 most similar past games finished 39–33–28.
Why only 35%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 35% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 31% and Valladolid at 34%.
Why the draw at 31%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.5 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Valladolid sit -0.42 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Cordoba come into this after a busy window — 15 arrivals and 15 departures over the summer. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336).
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Valladolid vs Cordoba, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Valladolid and Cordoba team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What time does Valladolid vs Cordoba kick off?
Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 12:00 UTC, a Segunda División fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Valladolid vs Cordoba goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Valladolid and Cordoba?
Valladolid and Cordoba have met 6 times — 2 wins for Valladolid, 2 wins for Cordoba and 2 draws.