Match preview
Girona vs Albacete — the facts
Girona meet Albacete in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Friday, 25 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi.
Team pages: Girona · Albacete · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Girona 53% · Draw 26% · Albacete 21%
Girona's rating edge carries it — Girona are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Girona's 53%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Girona at 53%?
Girona sit 182 points higher on our strength rating — 1716 to 1534. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge at home won 57.1% of 12,848 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 58–26–16.
Why only 53%?
Albacete sit -0.65 goals per game below chance-quality — cold streaks like this have bounced back. Finishing swings carry a receipt at this rating gap too: sides finishing this cold won 38.9% of 2,471 such games where the class table expected 36.4%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.1%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.3 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Girona have averaged 8 percentage points more possession than Albacete in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Girona won 2 of the last 4 meetings with Albacete. The record is 2 wins for Girona, 1 draw and 1 win for Albacete. These were 4 Segunda División games played at both grounds between 23 August 2019 and 28 March 2021. Latest meeting: 28 March 2021 — Girona 2–1 Albacete. In 5,114 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 43.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Girona vs Albacete, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Girona and Albacete team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What time does Girona vs Albacete kick off?
Kick-off is Friday, 25 September 2026, 18:30 UTC at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, a Segunda División fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Girona vs Albacete goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Girona and Albacete?
Girona and Albacete have met 4 times — 2 wins for Girona, 1 win for Albacete and 1 draw.