Celta de Vigo II vs Sat 26 Sept16:30 Scheduled
Sabadell — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell — the facts
Celta de Vigo II meet Sabadell in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Municipal de Barreiro.
Team pages: Celta de Vigo II · Sabadell · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Celta de Vigo II 45% · Draw 28% · Sabadell 27%
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Celta de Vigo II's 45% is home ground and little else. The draw at 28% is what level sides usually produce.
Why Celta de Vigo II in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1557 to 1518. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,717 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 45%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 28% and Sabadell at 27%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sabadell win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Celta de Vigo II are newly promoted — game 7 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least. Promoted sides ran below their rating in nine of the last ten seasons — 26.5% wins in their first ten games where the rating expected 30.0% (2,793 games since 2012), fading but still visible through game nineteen. Sabadell are newly promoted — game 7 of their first ten at this level, where our rating knows them least.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Celta de Vigo II and Sabadell team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What time does Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell kick off?
Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Municipal de Barreiro, a Segunda División fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Celta de Vigo II vs Sabadell goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.