Oviedo vs Sun 27 Sept19:00 Scheduled
Sporting Gijon — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon — the facts
Oviedo meet Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere.
Team pages: Oviedo · Sporting Gijon · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Oviedo 43% · Draw 30% · Sporting Gijon 27%
Level sides, only home ground separates them — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Oviedo's 43% is home ground and little else. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Oviedo in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1612 to 1573. Sides this close won 45.6% of 14,717 home games (draw 26.5%, visitors 27.9%).
Why only 43%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Level sides split the rest: the draw at 30% and Sporting Gijon at 27%.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the Sporting Gijon win?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 1.9 goals — a low-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 28.1% of 18,243. The goals environment adds 3.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Oviedo sit -0.56 goals per game under chance-quality. For home sides we could not receipt a bounce-back — the measured cells sit inside each other's noise bands — so this is noted and scores 0. Sporting Gijon are winless in their last 8 visits to Oviedo: 4 draws and 4 defeats, across 8 Segunda División games. No earlier win in this fixture appears in our recorded visits. Latest visit: 11 January 2025 — Oviedo 1–1 Sporting Gijon. Across 5,727 historical matches involving visitors with at least five consecutive winless visits, those visitors won 20.4%, compared with 21.4% expected from the teams' strength ratings.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Oviedo and Sporting Gijon team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What time does Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon kick off?
Kick-off is Sunday, 27 September 2026, 19:00 UTC at Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, a Segunda División fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Oviedo and Sporting Gijon?
Oviedo and Sporting Gijon have met 10 times — 4 wins for Oviedo, 2 wins for Sporting Gijon and 4 draws.