HighlightsLALIGA HYPERMOTIONYouTubeMatch Events
- 32′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- 45′Burgos, goal:1–0assist
- Half-time1 – 0
- 55′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 59′Eldense, substitution:off
- 59′Eldense, substitution:off
- 61′Burgos, substitution:off
- 61′Burgos, substitution:off
- 71′Burgos, substitution:off
- 71′Burgos, substitution:off
- 71′Eldense, substitution:off
- 71′Eldense, substitution:off
- 80′Eldense, substitution:off
- 83′Burgos, substitution:off
- 86′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- 87′Eldense, yellow card:Foul
- 90+1′Burgos, yellow card:Foul
- Full-time1 – 0
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Burgos
Eldense
Match report
Burgos edge Eldense thanks to David González's first-half strike
Burgos defeated Eldense 1-0 in a Segunda División round seven fixture at Municipal El Plantio, with the only goal arriving just before the break. The result lifted Sergio Francisco's side to fourth in the table, while Javi Calleja's Eldense remain down in 19th after the defeat.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
David González broke the deadlock in the 45th minute, finishing off an assist from Álex Forés to put Burgos 1-0 ahead heading into the interval. That score stayed unchanged through the second half, with the hosts holding out despite conceding more of the ball and facing a greater volume of attempts from their visitors.
Eldense had the better of the underlying numbers, enjoying 52 percent possession and firing 11 shots to Burgos's 6, four of them on target compared to two for the home side. They also won more corners, five to two, yet could not find a way past the Burgos defence to force an equaliser.
Ander Cantero was rated the top performer on the pitch at 7.96, though it was David González who supplied the decisive touch, scoring the only goal of the match with a rating of 7.84.
Despite having less of the ball, Burgos managed to hold on for the win even as Eldense out-shot them 11 to 6.
Burgos beat Eldense 1–0 (half-time 1–0).
Burgos met Eldense in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off was Sunday, 27 September 2026, 16:30 UTC at Municipal El Plantio. Referee: Abraham Domínguez.
Team pages: Burgos · Eldense · Segunda División
Key moments
- 45' Goal: David González (assist: Álex Forés) — 1–0
Starting line-ups
Burgos (4-4-2)
Eldense (4-2-3-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Burgos 56%, the draw 26%, Eldense 18%. It finished Burgos 1–0 Eldense.
Burgos' rating edge carries it — Burgos are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Burgos' 56%. The draw at 26% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Burgos at 56%?
Burgos sit 158 points higher on our strength rating — 1556 to 1398. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.8% of 13,271 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 59–24–17.
Why only 56%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 56% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 26% and Eldense at 18%.
Why the draw at 26%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.7%. These teams' recent games average 2.4 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.4% of 28,103. The goals environment adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Burgos scored +0.51 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Measured across 2,816 games at this rating gap, hot-finishing sides won 41.5% vs 42.5% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it scores 0 until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Burgos are unbeaten in their last 15 home Segunda División games: 9 wins and 6 draws. The run began on 21 December 2025. Last recorded home league defeat: 8 December 2025 — Burgos 0–1 Albacete. Latest home league result: 11 September 2026 — Burgos 3–1 AD Ceuta FC. Across 13,669 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 56.1%, compared with 54.9% expected from team strength. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Burgos vs Eldense final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this Segunda División fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Burgos 1–0 Eldense. Explore more on the Burgos and Eldense team pages or the Segunda División page.