Granada CF vs Sat 26 Sept14:15 Scheduled
FC Andorra — Segunda División: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Granada CF vs FC Andorra — the facts
Granada CF meet FC Andorra in the Segunda División (Regular Season - 7). Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.
Team pages: Granada CF · FC Andorra · Segunda División
Sirius · Why these numbers
Granada CF 47% · Draw 27% · FC Andorra 26%
Granada CF's rating edge, but the draw is in play — Granada CF are a shade stronger on our strength rating, and that is most of Granada CF's 47%. The draw at 27% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Granada CF at 47%?
Granada CF sit 53 points higher on our strength rating — 1559 to 1505. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge at home won 50.4% of 10,499 such games.
Why only 47%?
FC Andorra hold 13 more possession points (65 to 52 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.3% across 5,603 games, from 43.9% when styles were level.
Why is the draw second, ahead of the FC Andorra win?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 26.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.0 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,179. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw. The hot streak factor takes 1.0 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
FC Andorra have shed 77 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.7% of 9,787 such games vs 34.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Granada CF have rebuilt the eleven — fewer of last season's regular starters are still starting. Squad turnover reads dramatic but hasn't moved results once the rating is controlled: the busiest windows landed within noise across 5,368 games, rebuilt elevens likewise across 5,446, and even losing the most regular starters showed nothing (5,336). The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Granada CF vs FC Andorra, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Segunda División fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Granada CF and FC Andorra team pages or the Segunda División page.
Quick answers
›What time does Granada CF vs FC Andorra kick off?
Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 14:15 UTC, a Segunda División fixture (matchday 7).
›Where can I watch Granada CF vs FC Andorra goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.
›What is the head-to-head record between Granada CF and FC Andorra?
Granada CF and FC Andorra have met 4 times — 1 win for Granada CF, 1 win for FC Andorra and 2 draws.