Liechtenstein vs 24.09.26 18:450 – 2Full Time
Lithuania — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Lithuania see off Liechtenstein in UEFA Nations League opener
Lithuania beat Liechtenstein 2-0 in a UEFA Nations League League D - 1 fixture, with both goals arriving in the second half to settle a one-sided contest.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data.
The match was goalless at half-time before Lukas Michelbrink broke the deadlock in the 53rd minute, finishing from an assist by Armandas Kučys. Lithuania doubled their advantage in the 66th minute through Artūr Dolžnikov, set up by Gvidas Gineitis, and there were no further goals or red cards before the final whistle.
Lithuania dominated territory and chances throughout, with the visitors managing 16 shots to Liechtenstein's four and seven of those on target compared to none for the hosts. The away side also held 73 percent of possession and won eight corners to none, underlining their control of the game.
Michelbrink scored Lithuania's opening goal and finished with a match rating of 8.2, the highest of any player in the game.
Liechtenstein failed to register a single shot on target across the match, while Lithuania had seven.
Lithuania won 2–0 away against Liechtenstein (half-time 0–0).
Liechtenstein met Lithuania in the UEFA Nations League (League D - 1). Kick-off was Thursday, 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Rheinpark Stadion. Referee: Ante Culina.
Team pages: Liechtenstein · Lithuania · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 53' Goal: Lukas Michelbrink (assist: Armandas Kučys) — 0–1
- 66' Goal: Artūr Dolžnikov (assist: Gvidas Gineitis) — 0–2
Starting line-ups
Liechtenstein (5-3-2)
- 1 Benjamin Büchel
- 19 E. Zünd
- 3 M. Goppel
- 4 Lars Traber
- 5 J. Weissenhofer
- 18 Nicolas Hasler
- 20 Alessio Hasler
- 10 M. Buchel
- 8 A. Sele
- 9 F. Saglam
- 7 Fabio Luque Notaro
Lithuania (4-3-3)
- 23 D. Bartkus
- 2 Artemijus Tutyškinas
- 3 Edgaras Utkus
- 5 Kipras Kažukolovas
- 17 Pijus Širvys
- 16 Lukas Michelbrink
- 6 Modestas Vorobjovas
- 15 Gvidas Gineitis
- 13 Justas Lasickas
- 10 Armandas Kučys
- 11 E. Jankauskas
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Liechtenstein 20%, the draw 20%, Lithuania 60%. It finished Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania.
Lithuania's rating gap outweighs Liechtenstein's home ground — Lithuania are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Lithuania's 60%. The draw at 20% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Lithuania at 60%?
Lithuania sit 366 points higher on our strength rating — 945 to 1311. Sides with a more than 240-point rating edge on the road won 66.4% of 5,894 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 21–24–55.
Why only 60%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 60% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 20% and Liechtenstein at 20%.
Why is the draw only 20%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 22.4%. These teams' recent games average 3.2 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.9% of 17,245. The goals environment takes 1.9 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Lithuania have averaged 18 percentage points more possession than Liechtenstein in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. Liechtenstein (8 fully-tracked matches with us) and Lithuania (8) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Liechtenstein vs Lithuania final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania. Explore more on the Liechtenstein and Lithuania team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.