Kosovo vs Thu 24 Sept18:45 Scheduled
Rep. Of Ireland — UEFA Nations League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland — the facts
Kosovo meet Rep. Of Ireland in the UEFA Nations League (1). Kick-off is Thursday, 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: Kosovo · Rep. Of Ireland · UEFA Nations League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Kosovo 38% · Draw 30% · Rep. Of Ireland 32%
Home ground outweighs Rep. Of Ireland's rating edge — Rep. Of Ireland are the stronger side on our strength rating, but home ground gives Kosovo the lean. The draw at 30% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Kosovo at 38%?
Home ground, against the rating. Rep. Of Ireland sit 74 points higher on our strength rating — 1574 to 1648. Sides with a 50–100-point rating edge on the road won 33.0% of 10,679 such games.
Why only 38%?
Because Rep. Of Ireland are the stronger side on our strength rating. The rest is the draw at 30% and Rep. Of Ireland at 32%.
Why the draw at 30%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 28.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Kosovo (8 fully-tracked matches with us) and Rep. Of Ireland (7) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Kosovo and Rep. Of Ireland team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.
Quick answers
›What time does Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland kick off?
Kick-off is Thursday, 24 September 2026, 18:45 UTC, a UEFA Nations League fixture (matchday 1).
›Where can I watch Kosovo vs Rep. Of Ireland goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.