Georgia vs 25.09.26 16:000 – 1Full Time
Northern Ireland — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Shea Charles strikes late as Northern Ireland win League B opener in Georgia
Northern Ireland began their Nations League B campaign with a 1-0 win away to Georgia, settled by Shea Charles in the ninth minute of added time. Trai Hume supplied the cross for the only goal in Tbilisi, giving the promoted visitors three points from their opening Group B2 match.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data and the sources linked below.
Georgia's possession did produce chances: Trai Hume cleared Giorgi Kvernadze's header off the line, while Pierce Charles kept out Georges Mikautadze's close-range effort and then Khvicha Kvaratskhelia's penalty. Pierce's older brother Shea supplied the winner at the other end. Georgia had 62% of possession, but shots were almost even: 11 for the hosts and 12 for Northern Ireland.
Georgia, back for another League B campaign, next host Ukraine on 28 September; Northern Ireland face Hungary at home the same day.
Report sources
Northern Ireland won 1–0 away against Georgia (half-time 0–0).
Georgia met Northern Ireland in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 1). Kick-off was Friday, 25 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena. Referee: Orel Grinfeeld.
Team pages: Georgia · Northern Ireland · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 90+9' Goal: Shea Charles (assist: Trai Hume) — 0–1 · Watch Shea Charles's goal video (90+9')
Starting line-ups
Georgia (3-4-2-1)
Northern Ireland (3-4-2-1)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Georgia 59%, the draw 25%, Northern Ireland 16%. It finished Georgia 0–1 Northern Ireland.
Georgia's rating edge carries it — Georgia are the stronger side on our strength rating, and their control of the ball on top gives Georgia a clear lead. The draw at 25% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Georgia at 59%?
Georgia sit 88 points higher on our strength rating — 1630 to 1542. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge at home won 56.9% of 13,264 such games. Georgia hold 7 more possession points (44 to 37 in recent games) across a 88-point rating gap. Control now carries a receipt beyond near-equals too: sides with this control edge at a 60–120-point rating gap won 42.6% of 8,527 such games where the class table expected 40.8%. The 300 most similar past games finished 51–30–19.
Why only 59%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 59% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 25% and Northern Ireland at 16%.
Why the draw at 25%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 24.5%. These teams' recent games average 2.8 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 24.6% of 25,170.
What did we measure but not count?
Georgia (10 fully-tracked matches with us) and Northern Ireland (7) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Georgia vs Northern Ireland final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Georgia 0–1 Northern Ireland. Explore more on the Georgia and Northern Ireland team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.