Match report
Sikan header gives Ukraine a winning Nations League start in Hungary
Ukraine opened their League B Group B2 campaign with three points in Budapest, beating Hungary 1–0 through Danylo Sikan's first-half header. The result gives Ukraine an early advantage in a group whose winner will move up to League A, though five matches remain for each side.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data and the sources linked below.
Heorhii Sudakov assisted Sikan's 42nd-minute goal. Hungary had more of the ball and took 17 shots to Ukraine's 10, but could not find an equaliser. Ukraine finished with 10 players after substitute Oleksandr Nazarenko received a second yellow card in stoppage time; the score remained unchanged after the dismissal.
Hungary's attacking task had already been complicated before kickoff: coach Marco Rossi said Barnabás Varga and Roland Sallai were unavailable through injury and that their absence might require tactical changes. The home side now has to recover from a losing start, while Ukraine carries an away win into a six-match group race in which second place would offer a promotion play-off route.
Report sources
Ukraine won 1–0 away against Hungary (half-time 0–1).
Hungary met Ukraine in the UEFA Nations League (League B - 1). Kick-off was Friday, 25 September 2026, 18:45 UTC at Puskás Aréna. Referee: Jarred Gillett.
Team pages: Hungary · Ukraine · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 42' Goal: Danylo Sikan (assist: Heorhii Sudakov) — 0–1 · Watch Danylo Sikan's goal video (42')
- 90+2' Red card: Oleksandr Nazarenko
Starting line-ups
Hungary (4-3-1-2)
- 22 Balázs Tóth
- 11 Miloš Kerkez
- 3 Márk Csinger
- 6 Vilmos Orbán
- 14 Bendegúz Bolla
- 13 András Schäfer
- 15 Áron Csongvai
- 8 Milán Vitális
- 10 Dominik Szoboszlai
- 16 D. Lukacs
- 23 Damir Redzic
Ukraine (4-3-3)
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Hungary 44%, the draw 26%, Ukraine 30%. It finished Hungary 0–1 Ukraine.
Level sides, home ground holds off Ukraine's control of the ball — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Hungary's 44% is home ground and little else. The draw at 26% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Hungary in front?
Home ground, and little else. Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1786 to 1771. Sides this close won 46.1% of 13,602 home games (draw 27.0%, visitors 26.9%).
Why only 44%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Ukraine hold 7 more possession points (51 to 44 in recent games) — and between equals, control has been worth something. Between evenly-matched sides, when the visitors held this control edge the home team's win rate fell to 40.1% across 5,446 games, from 44.0% when styles were level.
Why the draw at 26%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.0%. These teams' recent games average 3.1 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 22.9% of 17,250. The goals environment takes 2.3 points off the draw. The control factor adds 1.2 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Ukraine have shed 79 strength-rating points over their last 10 games. Momentum is measured but not yet proven: sliding sides won 34.1% of 9,517 such games vs 33.6% class-expected — inside the noise band, so it stays at 0 points until the receipt clears its evidence bar. Hungary (9 fully-tracked matches with us) and Ukraine (10) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Hungary vs Ukraine final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Hungary 0–1 Ukraine. Explore more on the Hungary and Ukraine team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.