Faroe Islands vs Sat 26 Sept16:00 Scheduled
Kazakhstan — UEFA Nations League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan — the facts
Faroe Islands meet Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League (1). Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Team pages: Faroe Islands · Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League
Sirius · Why these numbers
Faroe Islands 32% · Draw 29% · Kazakhstan 39%
Kazakhstan's rating edge outweighs Faroe Islands' home ground — Kazakhstan are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Kazakhstan's 39%. The draw at 29% is lifted by a low-scoring environment.
Why Kazakhstan at 39%?
Kazakhstan sit 132 points higher on our strength rating — 1329 to 1461. Sides with a 100–200-point rating edge on the road won 40.1% of 13,218 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 37–28–35.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Faroe Islands at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.2%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.5 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Faroe Islands (8 fully-tracked matches with us) and Kazakhstan (8) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.
Quick answers
›What time does Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan kick off?
Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC, a UEFA Nations League fixture (matchday 1).
›Where can I watch Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.