FYR Macedonia vs Sat 26 Sept18:45 Scheduled
Switzerland — UEFA Nations League: prediction, stats, lineups & analysis
Match preview
FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland — the facts
FYR Macedonia meet Switzerland in the UEFA Nations League (1). Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Team pages: FYR Macedonia · Switzerland · UEFA Nations League
Sirius · Why these numbers
FYR Macedonia 17% · Draw 22% · Switzerland 61%
Switzerland's rating gap outweighs FYR Macedonia's home ground — Switzerland are clearly the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Switzerland's 61%. The draw at 22% is about what a gap this size usually leaves.
Why Switzerland at 61%?
Switzerland sit 320 points higher on our strength rating — 1557 to 1877. Sides with a more than 300-point rating edge on the road won 65.9% of 5,262 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 18–22–60.
Why only 61%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 61% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 22% and FYR Macedonia at 17%.
Why is the draw only 22%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 21.3%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.2% of 27,897. The goals environment adds 1.1 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Switzerland have averaged 12 percentage points more possession than FYR Macedonia in recent games. That doesn’t change our forecast here. FYR Macedonia (9 fully-tracked matches with us) and Switzerland (17) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland, the head-to-head record and recent form, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this UEFA Nations League fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the FYR Macedonia and Switzerland team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.
Quick answers
›What time does FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland kick off?
Kick-off is Saturday, 26 September 2026, 18:45 UTC, a UEFA Nations League fixture (matchday 1).
›Where can I watch FYR Macedonia vs Switzerland goal clips and highlights?
Goal clips and match highlights will be published on this page — each goal video is added shortly after it goes in, with highlights after full-time.