Faroe Islands vs 26.09.26 16:001 – 1Full Time
Kazakhstan — UEFA Nations League: stats, lineups & analysis
Match report
Kazakhstan answer early Faroese lead to share C3 opener
Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan began their Nations League C3 campaigns with a 1–1 draw in Tórshavn. For the Faroes, the home point follows a World Cup qualifying run of four wins in eight group games, including victory over Czechia. Kazakhstan, relegated from League B last time, avoided an opening defeat after falling behind early.
AI-assisted match report written from official match data and the sources linked below.
Áki Samuelsen gave the hosts the lead in the 14th minute, but Temirlan Erlanov equalised for Kazakhstan twelve minutes later. It stayed level through the second half, leaving the Faroes without the home win their early lead had offered.
Both sides now have one point in a group that also includes Slovakia and Moldova. The Faroe Islands visit Moldova on Tuesday, an early chance to build on the opener. Only the C3 winner is promoted directly to League B, while second place brings a play-off, so the draw leaves the group contest open.
Report sources
Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan drew 1–1 (half-time 1–1).
Faroe Islands met Kazakhstan in the UEFA Nations League (League C - 1). Kick-off was Saturday, 26 September 2026, 16:00 UTC at Tórsvøllur. Referee: Ishmael Barbara.
Team pages: Faroe Islands · Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League
Key moments
- 14' Goal: Áki Samuelsen (assist: Andrias Edmundsson) — 1–0 · Watch Áki Samuelsen's goal video (14')
- 26' Goal: Temirlan Erlanov (assist: Bauyrzhan Islamkhan) — 1–1 · Watch Temirlan Erlanov's goal video (26')
Starting line-ups
Faroe Islands (3-4-3)
Kazakhstan (4-3-3)
- 1 Stas Pokatilov
- 11 Yan Vorogovskiy
- 3 Nuraly Alip
- 23 Temirlan Erlanov
- 13 Aleksandr Mrynskiy
- 9 Bauyrzhan Islamkhan
- 5 Islambek Kuat
- 18 Dinmukhamed Karaman
- 7 G. Kenzhebek
- 10 Artur Shushenachev
- 8 Z. Amir
Sirius · Why these numbers
Before kick-off Sirius gave Faroe Islands 32%, the draw 29%, Kazakhstan 39%. It finished Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan.
Kazakhstan's rating edge outweighs Faroe Islands' home ground — Kazakhstan are the stronger side on our strength rating, and that is most of Kazakhstan's 39%. The draw at 29% is up from the usual 27.4% for a gap this size, as small adjustments add up.
Why Kazakhstan at 39%?
Kazakhstan sit 141 points higher on our strength rating — 1343 to 1484. Sides with a 80–160-point rating edge on the road won 40.2% of 13,711 such games. The 300 most similar past games finished 32–27–41.
Why only 39%?
No scored evidence points the other way. 39% is what this rating gap has been worth in games like these; the rest is the draw at 29% and Faroe Islands at 32%.
Why the draw at 29%?
With a rating gap this size the draw starts at 27.4%. These teams' recent games average 2.6 goals — a typical goals environment. Games in that environment drew 26.3% of 27,938. The goals environment adds 1.4 points to the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Faroe Islands (8 fully-tracked matches with us) and Kazakhstan (8) carry strength ratings anchored to the official international ratings list, so the class read stands on far more than our own short records. National sides play too few games for a record built from scratch, so their rating chain starts from the published international ratings instead of a blind first guess.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan final score and result, goal highlights and video clips of every goal, who scored, starting lineups, match stats and the full match report from this UEFA Nations League fixture.
- Who scored and when — a goal-by-goal timeline of the match.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Starting lineups and player ratings for both teams.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
- Watch Áki Samuelsen's goal against Kazakhstan (14').
- Watch Temirlan Erlanov's goal against Faroe Islands (26').
Watch the goals: goal highlights and video clips of every goal from Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan. Explore more on the Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan team pages or the UEFA Nations League page.