Predicted lineups
Predicted from each team's recent lineups and the latest injury news. Official team sheets usually land about an hour before kick-off.
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Match preview
Inter host Como in Serie A with two points separating second and fourth
Inter welcome Como on Serie A Matchday 11 with the home side second in the table on 25 points from 10 games, and Como fourth on 23 from the same number. Only two places and two points divide them, with Inter the higher-placed side, so the result can reshape the top end of the standings.
AI-assisted match preview written from official match data.
Cristian Chivu's Inter have won four of their last five games, the exception a 3-1 defeat at AC Milan on 31 October. They responded with a 3-0 win at Feyenoord on 3 November, their latest outing, and have kept three clean sheets in that five-game spell while scoring nine times.
Cesc Fàbregas's Como arrive on a run of six straight wins. Their last five have brought 19 goals and three conceded, including a 9-1 victory at Lens on 4 November, and they have failed to score in none of those games. Both sides have also faced Venezia recently, Inter winning 2-0 away and Como winning 1-0 at home.
Across their last 5 meetings, Inter won 4, Como won 0, with 1 draw. The most recent meeting was Inter 3–2 Como on 21 April 2026.
Inter have won four and lost one of their last five, while Como have won all five, scoring 19 goals to Inter's nine.
Inter have won four of their last five home games, while Como have won three of their last five away, scoring 17 goals in them.
Inter meet Como in the Serie A (Regular Season - 11). Kick-off is Sunday, 8 November 2026, 17:00 UTC at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Referee: Daniele Chiffi.
Sirius · Why these numbers
Inter 49% · Draw 23% · Como 28%
Level sides, Como's hot finishing due to cool swings it Inter's way — Nothing separates them on our strength rating, and Como's hot finishing due to cool gives Inter the lean. The draw at 23% is held down by a high-scoring environment.
Why Inter in front?
Almost nothing between them on our strength rating — 1931 to 1905. Sides this close won 46.0% of 14,593 home games (draw 27.5%, visitors 26.6%). Como scored +0.46 goals per game beyond chance-quality lately — hot streaks like that have cooled off. Visitors running this hot went on to win 27.7% of 1,684 games, vs 27.8% for visitors finishing normally.
Why only 49%?
Because on our strength rating there is nothing in it. Serie A home sides under-perform the global norm — and the difference mostly flows to the other outcomes. Serie A homes won 43.3% of 6,181 games vs 44.6% across all 108,444 — outside the noise band, so the tally moves accordingly.
Why is the draw only 23%?
Between sides this level the draw starts at 27.5%. These teams' recent games average 3.8 goals — a high-scoring environment. Games in that environment drew 23.1% of 18,743. The goals environment takes 2.4 points off the draw. The cool-off factor takes 2.3 points off the draw.
What did we measure but not count?
Inter are unbeaten in their last 17 home Serie A games: 14 wins and 3 draws. The run began on 6 December 2025. It covers all 5 home Serie A games this season. Last recorded home league defeat: 23 November 2025 — Inter 0–1 AC Milan. Latest home league result: 25 October 2026 — Inter 2–1 Fiorentina. Across 16,587 historical matches following an unbeaten home league run of at least six games, hosts won 55.2%, compared with 54.2% expected from team strength. Inter won 5 of the last 6 meetings with Como. The record is 5 wins for Inter, 1 draw and 0 wins for Como. These were 4 Serie A games and 2 Coppa Italia games played at both grounds between 23 December 2024 and 21 April 2026. Inter are unbeaten in the last 6 meetings between the sides (5 wins, 1 draw), a run going back to December 2024. Latest meeting: 21 April 2026 — Inter 3–2 Como. In 5,573 historical matches between similarly rated teams, home sides with the stronger head-to-head record won 44.0%. The other measured facts on this page scored nothing either.
Sirius probabilities, frozen at kick-off. Analysis, not betting advice. How Sirius is doing this season · Full breakdown, evidence cards and squad news in the Match Insights tab
About this match
On this page: kickoff time and matchday details for Inter vs Como, the head-to-head record and recent form, stats-based pre-match analysis, confirmed lineups about an hour before kick-off — then the live score, goal clips and video highlights once this Serie A fixture kicks off.
- Live score updates and a goal-by-goal timeline once play begins.
- Match stats — possession, shots, expected goals (xG), corners and cards.
- Confirmed starting lineups, usually about an hour before kick-off.
- Head-to-head record and recent form for both sides.
Explore more on the Inter and Como team pages or the Serie A page.

